中东欧国家是否“金融过剩”?

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Argumenta Oeconomica Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.15611/aoe.2020.2.01
W. Grabowski, I. Maciejczyk-Bujnowicz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文对衡量中东欧国家金融发展程度的不同变量的增长回归参数进行了估计。其次,计算衡量金融发展水平的具体变量的最优值。实证研究结果表明,2001-2015年期间,金融市场和金融机构越稳定、准入越便利的国家经济增长速度越快。反映金融深化对经济增长影响的结果较为模糊。在危机前,金融机构深度与经济增长之间的关系被证明是不显著的。2007年后,该系数值适中(约60%)的国家实际GDP增长率较高。金融市场深度与经济增长之间呈u型关系。然而,2001-2007年股市的最佳发展水平远高于雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)破产后的水平
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Is there “too much finance” in central and eastern european countries?
In this paper, the parameters of the growth regression, including different variables measuring the degree of financial development for the Central and Eastern European countries are estimated. Next, the optimal values of specific variables measuring the level of financial development are calculated. The results of the empirical investigation indicate that countries with more stable financial markets and institutions and greater access to them grew faster in the period 2001-2015. The results reflecting the impact of the financial deepening on economic growth are more ambiguous. In the pre-crisis period, the relationship between the depth of financial institutions and economic growth turned out to be insignificant. After 2007, countries with moderate values (about 60%) of this coefficient recorded higher rates of growth in real GDP. A U-shaped relationship between the depth of financial markets and economic growth was identified. However the optimal level of development of stock markets was much higher in 2001-2007 than after the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy
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