波兰商业银行不良贷款的宏观和银行具体决定因素

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Argumenta Oeconomica Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.15611/aoe.2021.2.06
Mihail Petkovski, Jordan Kjosevski, Kiril Jovanovski
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文的目的是研究波兰商业银行不良贷款(NPLs)的决定因素,并使用2005-2018年期间的年度数据,对波兰18家银行的小组调查不良贷款的银行具体和宏观经济决定因素。本文采用了固定效应模型、随机效应模型、差分广义矩量法和系统广义矩量法四种可选的估计方法。分析显示了银行特定的决定因素,对不良贷款的影响包括股本回报率和总贷款的增长,而从宏观经济决定因素来看,最重要的因素是:GDP增长、对私营部门的国内信贷、公共债务和失业。不良贷款分别为0.12和0.27。
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Macro and bank specific determinants of nonperforming loans in polish commercial banks
The aim of this paper was to examine the determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) in Polish commercial banks, and investigate the bank specific and macroeconomic determinants of NPLs for a panel of 18 banks from Poland, using annual data for the period 2005-2018. The authors applied four alternative estimation techniques: the fixed effects model, the random effects model, the difference Generalized Method of Moments and the system Generalized Method of Moments. The analyses show the bank-specific determinants, with the impact on the amount of NPLs including greturn on equity and growth of gross loans, while from the macroeconomic determinants the most important factors are: GDP growth, domestic credit to private sector, public debt and unemployment. and NPLs 0.12 and 0.27.
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