2000-2021年秘鲁包容性经济增长和国际贸易

IF 0.3 Q4 BUSINESS Suma de Negocios Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI:10.14349/sumneg/2023.v14.n30.a5
Harold Delfín Angulo Bustinza, Valeria Fátima Zeballos Ponce
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引用次数: 0

摘要

前言/目的:包容性经济增长是近年来在全球范围内越来越重要的一个概念;然而,秘鲁几乎没有对其进行过研究。本研究旨在了解2000-2021年期间秘鲁包容性经济增长与国际贸易之间是否存在正相关关系。方法:使用世界经济论坛提出的包容性发展指数(IDI)的增长和发展支柱(人均GDP、劳动生产率、就业和预期寿命)和包容性(收入集中度和贫困)来衡量包容性经济增长。采用普通最小二乘法(OLS)进行回归分析。研究结果表明,秘鲁国际贸易的增长与所分析的包容性经济增长的两个指标:实际人均GDP和弱势就业呈正相关关系。相反,它与劳动生产率呈负相关。贫困变量没有统计学意义。此外,秘鲁国际贸易与出生时预期寿命或收入分配之间没有协整关系。结论:因此,得出包容性经济增长与秘鲁国际贸易呈正相关的结论。该研究侧重于四个发展支柱和两个包容性支柱,因此分析将有助于提出促进秘鲁包容性经济增长的政策。
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Inclusive economic growth and international trade in Peru 2000-2021
Introduction/Purpose: Inclusive economic growth is a concept that has taken on importance in recent years globally; however, it has scarcely been studied in Peru. This research aims to know if there exists a positive relationship between inclusive economic growth and international trade in Peru in the period 2000-2021. Methodology: Inclusive economic growth was measured using the pillars of growth and development (per capita GDP, labour productivity, employment, and life expectancy) and inclusion (income concentration and poverty) of the Inclusive Development Index (IDI) proposed by the World Economic Forum. The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method was used to perform the regressions. Findings: The results show that the growth of International Trade in Peru has a positive relationship with two of the indicators of inclusive economic growth analysed: real GDP per capita and Vulnerable Employment. In contrast, it has a negative relationship with Labour Productivity. There is no statistical significance for the Poverty variable. Furthermore, there is no cointegration between Peruvian International Trade and Life Expectancy at Birth or Income Distribution. Conclusions: Therefore, it is concluded that inclusive economic growth has a positive relationship with Peruvian International Trade. The study focuses on four development pillars and two inclusion pillars, so the analysis will serve to propose policies that promote inclusive economic growth in Peru.
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来源期刊
Suma de Negocios
Suma de Negocios BUSINESS-
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
审稿时长
8 weeks
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