从政治顾问的角度看,消极竞选作为一种选举策略:攻击谁、何时攻击、如何攻击

Felipe Borba, Fábio Vasconcellos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文分析了负面广告作为一种选举策略。目标是评估三个基本问题:攻击谁,何时攻击以及如何攻击。为此,我们对巴西政治顾问进行了一项研究调查,以了解负面竞选策略如何根据情况而变化。结果表明,攻击对手的决定应该在竞选的最后阶段使用,重点关注对手的建议,最好是通过社交网络。攻击谁的决定受到对胜利的预期和在民意调查中的定位的影响,但投票意向的动态改变了攻击的目标和负面广告应该使用的强度。
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The negative campaign as an electoral strategy from the perspective of political consultants: who to attack, when to attack and how to attack1
Abstract This article analyzes negative advertising as an electoral strategy. The objective is to assess three basic questions: who to attack, when to attack and how to attack. To do so, we conducted a research survey with a sample of Brazilian political consultants in order to understand how negative campaign strategies vary according to the circumstances. The results indicate that the decision to attack the opponent should be used in the final stage of the campaign, focusing on the opponent’s proposals and preferably via social networks. The decision about who to attack is influenced by the expectation of victory and positioning in the polls, but the dynamics of voting intentions change the target of the attacks and the intensity with which negative advertising should be used.
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