最后通牒博弈的三个版本

Q3 Social Sciences Anali Hrvatskog Politoloskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-12-13 DOI:10.20901/an.18.15
D. Pavlović, Stevo Đurašković
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们考察了1914-1918年塞尔维亚人、克罗地亚人和斯洛文尼亚人王国的建立,作为最后通牒游戏的一种形式。从1914年到1918年,塞尔维亚内阁和南斯拉夫委员会哈布斯堡南斯拉夫人的代表之间的谈判是这种游戏的三个版本的例子。第一个版本是一个典型的(理性选择)类型的最后通牒博弈,其中接收者对提议者的任何提议都感到满意。第二个版本是行为博弈论的一个例子。当提议者提出一个不公平的提议时,它会引起接受者的情绪反应,他们会以伤害自己为代价拒绝它。我们在克罗地亚人、南斯拉夫委员会领导人之一弗朗诺·苏皮罗的情绪行为中观察到这种行为。行为最后通牒游戏的第三个版本可以从塞尔维亚总理尼古拉Pašić的行为中看到,他反对对南斯拉夫委员会作出任何让步,从而向克族方面发出最后通牒,要么接受塞尔维亚的提议,要么什么都不做,这对塞尔维亚方面也是有害的。这个例子很重要,因为它产生了两个结论。首先,历史游戏通常是多个版本的混合体。其次,提议者也可能会有情绪反应,提出可能会伤害自己的提议。最后通牒博弈的这一方面很少被提及,因为它很难在实验中模拟。
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The Three Versions of the Ultimatum Game
We examine the 1914-1918 creation of the Kingdom of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes as a form of the ultimatum game. The negotiations among the Serbian Cabinet and the yugoslav Committee representatives of the Habsburg Souths Slavs from 1914-1918 exemplify three versions of this game. The first version is a typical (rational choice) type of the ultimatum game in which the receiver is satisfied with any offer by the Proposer. The second version is an instance of behavioral game theory. When the Proposer gives an unfair offer, it provokes an emotional reaction in the receiver who will reject it at the cost of harming themselves. We observe this behavior in the emotional behavior of frano Supilo, a Croat and one of the leaders of the yugoslav Committee. The third version of the behavioral ultimatum game can be observed in the behavior of Serbian Prime minister nikola Pašić who opposed any concessions to the yugoslav Committee, thus giving an ultimatum to the Croat side to accept the Serbian offer or remain with nothing, which was harmful to the Serbian side, too. This example is important because it produces two conclusions. first, historical games are often a mixture of several versions. Second, Proposers, too, can have an emotional reaction and give an offer that can hurt themselves. This aspect of the ultimatum game is less mentioned because it is difficult to simulate in experiments.
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来源期刊
Anali Hrvatskog Politoloskog Drustva
Anali Hrvatskog Politoloskog Drustva Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
3
审稿时长
40 weeks
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