干预利比亚,是的;干预叙利亚,否:解读奥巴马政府

A. Guiora
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引用次数: 11

摘要

解读美国总统的行政管理确实是一件苦差事。判断奥巴马政府是否与前几届政府有明显不同还为时过早。可以说,这项任务应该留给历史学家。然而,即使是随便阅读一下奥巴马总统的中东政策(也许用“政策”来形容最恰当),也反映出一种天真、不一致和模糊的结合。虽然可能是有意为之,但对地面的影响是非常麻烦的。虽然国内政治考虑是一个现实,但在中东这样一个危险的地区,政府政策的影响可能是惊人的。正是因为国际法没有明确规定国际人道主义干预何时是正当的规范或架构标准,国家领导人可以说有责任采取行动。常被引用的一句话“大炮轰鸣时,缪斯沉默”与这一讨论特别相关。出于各种原因,国际社会已经确定——无论是主动的还是被动的——阿萨德政府对叙利亚人民的屠杀不能成为国际人道主义干预的理由。虽然每天发生的侵犯人权事件无法与卢旺达、科索沃或塞拉利昂的恐怖事件相比,但它们的引人注目程度并不亚于利比亚发生的事件。如果打个比方,国际社会是大炮,美国是缪斯,这是否意味着奥巴马政府必须保持沉默?毕竟,如果这句话被严格地应用,那么许多旨在减少人类痛苦的机构都将不复存在,更不用说在战时发挥作用了。虽然从国际人道主义干预的角度来看,利比亚和叙利亚之间的区别并不明确,干预的标准也不明确,但这绝不能成为奥巴马政府在很大程度上背弃叙利亚人民的错误依据。
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Intervention in Libya, Yes; Intervention in Syria, No: Deciphering the Obama Administration
Deciphering an American presidential administration is truly yeoman’s work. Whether the Obama Administration is significantly distinct from previous administrations is too early to judge. Arguably, the task should be left to historians. Nevertheless, even a casual perusal of President Obama’s Middle East policy (perhaps best described as "policy") reflects a combination of naivete, inconsistency and murkiness. While perhaps by design, the impact — on the ground — is deeply troublesome. While domestic political considerations are a reality, the implications of the Administration’s policy in an area of the world as treacherous as the Middle East are, potentially, staggering.Precisely because international law does not articulate either normative or architectural standards as to when international humanitarian intervention is justified, national leaders arguably have a responsibility to act. The oft-cited phrase "when the cannons roar, the muses are silent" is particularly relevant to this discussion. For a variety of reasons, the international community has determined — whether actively or passively — that the massacre of the Syrian population by the Assad government does not justify international humanitarian intervention. While the human rights violations occurring on a daily basis do not compare to the horrors of Rwanda, Kosovo, or Sierra Leone they are not less compelling than the events transpiring in Libya. If, by metaphorical analogy, the international community is the cannons and the U.S. is the muse, does that mean that the Obama Administration is required to be silent? After all, if the quote were to be rigorously applied, then many of the institutions created to minimize human suffering would neither exist, much less function in wartime. While the distinction — from the perspective of international humanitarian intervention — between Libya and Syria is as unclear, as are the criteria that justify intervention, that must not serve as a misguided basis for the Obama Administration to largely turn its back on the Syrian people.
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