通过提出伊朗破产模型,比较国外调整破产的预测能力

M. Sarhadi, F. Mansouri, Mahdi Faghani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是通过提供一个拟议的伊朗破产模型来比较外国调整破产的生产力。本研究在目的和描述性和相关性方面的应用,通过破产模型根据Shumway的风险模型(2001)进行研究,并以logit模型的形式根据Pourheydari和Koopayee的模型(2010)进行会计评估。因此,从德黑兰证券交易所选取了2006年至2018年的1287家公司作为样本。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)进行统计假设检验。接收机工作特性适用于SAS、SPSS、STATA等软件。结果表明,Shumway模型(2001)对企业破产的预测更为准确,这是风险模型相对于经典模型的优越性。
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Comparing predicative power of foreign adjusted bankruptcy through providing proposed model of bankruptcy in Iran
The aim of the present study was to compare the productive power of foreign adjusted bankruptcy by providing a proposed model of bankruptcy in Iran. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive and correlational in terms of nature which through that bankruptcy models are studied according to the Shumway's hazard model (2001), and in the form of a logit model and accounting are evaluated based on Pourheydari's and Koopayee's model (2010). Accordingly, a sample including1287 years, the company from 2006 to 2018 has been selected from Tehran Stock Exchange. For statistical hypothesis testing, receiver operating characteristics (ROC) was applied. Receiver operating characteristics is applicable in software like SAS, SPSS, and STATA. The results showed that Shumway's model (2001) provides a more accurate bankruptcy prediction of companies and this is the sign of superiority of the hazard model over classic models.
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