{"title":"时间不一致性和不确定性下的创新与信息获取","authors":"Sophie Chemarin, Caroline Orset","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1161251","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"When an agent invests in new industrial activities, he has a limited initial knowledge of his project's returns. Acquiring information allows him both to reduce the uncertainty on the dangerousness of this project and to limit potential damages that it might cause on people's health and on the environment. In this paper, we study whether there exist situations in which the agent does not acquire information. We find that an agent with time-consistent preferences, as well as an agent with hyperbolic ones, will acquire information unless its cost exceeds the direct benefit they could get with this information. Nevertheless, a hyperbolic agent may remain strategically ignorant and, when he does acquire information, he will acquire less information than a time-consistent type. Moreover, a hyperbolic-discounting type who behaves as a time-consistent agent in the future is more inclined to stay ignorant. We then emphasize that this strategic ignorance depends on the degree of precision of the information. Finally, we analyse the role that existing liability rules could play as an incentive to acquire information under uncertainty and with regard to the form of the agent's preferences.","PeriodicalId":43920,"journal":{"name":"Geneva Risk and Insurance Review","volume":"36 1","pages":"132-173"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2011-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"10","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Innovation and Information Acquisition under Time Inconsistency and Uncertainty\",\"authors\":\"Sophie Chemarin, Caroline Orset\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1161251\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"When an agent invests in new industrial activities, he has a limited initial knowledge of his project's returns. Acquiring information allows him both to reduce the uncertainty on the dangerousness of this project and to limit potential damages that it might cause on people's health and on the environment. In this paper, we study whether there exist situations in which the agent does not acquire information. We find that an agent with time-consistent preferences, as well as an agent with hyperbolic ones, will acquire information unless its cost exceeds the direct benefit they could get with this information. Nevertheless, a hyperbolic agent may remain strategically ignorant and, when he does acquire information, he will acquire less information than a time-consistent type. Moreover, a hyperbolic-discounting type who behaves as a time-consistent agent in the future is more inclined to stay ignorant. We then emphasize that this strategic ignorance depends on the degree of precision of the information. Finally, we analyse the role that existing liability rules could play as an incentive to acquire information under uncertainty and with regard to the form of the agent's preferences.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43920,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Geneva Risk and Insurance Review\",\"volume\":\"36 1\",\"pages\":\"132-173\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"10\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Geneva Risk and Insurance Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1161251\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Geneva Risk and Insurance Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1161251","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Innovation and Information Acquisition under Time Inconsistency and Uncertainty
When an agent invests in new industrial activities, he has a limited initial knowledge of his project's returns. Acquiring information allows him both to reduce the uncertainty on the dangerousness of this project and to limit potential damages that it might cause on people's health and on the environment. In this paper, we study whether there exist situations in which the agent does not acquire information. We find that an agent with time-consistent preferences, as well as an agent with hyperbolic ones, will acquire information unless its cost exceeds the direct benefit they could get with this information. Nevertheless, a hyperbolic agent may remain strategically ignorant and, when he does acquire information, he will acquire less information than a time-consistent type. Moreover, a hyperbolic-discounting type who behaves as a time-consistent agent in the future is more inclined to stay ignorant. We then emphasize that this strategic ignorance depends on the degree of precision of the information. Finally, we analyse the role that existing liability rules could play as an incentive to acquire information under uncertainty and with regard to the form of the agent's preferences.
期刊介绍:
The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review (GRIR), the academic journal of The Geneva Association, is the flagship journal of the European Group of Risk and Insurance Economists (EGRIE). The GRIR publishes original research that advances our understanding of the economics of risk and uncertainty and the management thereof through insurance and other mechanisms.
Specific focus areas include: the economics of insurance products and markets; decision theory under uncertainty; risk sharing or risk mitigation mechanisms for individuals, corporations, and society; market failures related to risk sharing and mitigation mechanisms, including those arising from information frictions and incentive problems; and the role of government in managing risk through regulation or social insurance provision.
The GRIR emphasizes scientifically rigorous research that is well-grounded in economic theory, based on both neoclassical and behavioral approaches. This includes pure theoretical research, empirical or experimental research that aims to test, falsify, or otherwise elucidate existing theoretical work as well as applied theoretical research that is of direct applicability to practitioners and policymakers.
The GRIR is well indexed, including EconLit, the Social Science Citation Index, and RePEC.
Until June 2005, the Journal was published as "The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Theory".