埃塞俄比亚东部小农采用改良马铃薯品种的符咒:持续时间法

S. Lemessa, Molla Alemayehu, M. Daksa, N. Dechassa
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引用次数: 3

摘要

在埃塞俄比亚,马铃薯主要被标记为粮食安全作物。然而,由于小农很少采用改良技术,其生产力仍然很低。使用持续时间模型,即参数(威布尔)和非参数(卡普兰·迈耶)模型,对365个样本农户的数据进行分析。非参数结果显示,马铃薯种植者在采用新品种之前应该等待的平均时间约为3.5年。Weibull回归表明,种子的及时供应、劳动力和灌溉用水的获取、土地面积和农民的适应策略是限制马铃薯改良品种采用时间的因素。回归分析发现,粪肥和堆肥等投入成本、干旱、病虫害等环境和市场因素、马铃薯种子价格波动以及马铃薯种子质量是影响小农采用改良马铃薯品种决策的因素。
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Adoption Spells of Improved Potato Varieties by Smallholder Farmers in Eastern Ethiopia: The Duration Approach
Potato is mainly tagged as a food security crop in Ethiopia. However, its productivity remains low due to low adoption of improved technologies by smallholder farmers. Duration models, namely, Parametric (Weibull) and Non-parametric (Kaplan Meier) were used to analyze the data gathered from 365 sample farmers. The Non-parametric result revealed that the average duration that potato growers should wait before adopting a new variety is about 3.5 years. The Weibull regression indicated that timely availability of seed, access to labor and irrigation water, land size, and adaptation strategy by farmers are found to be factors curtailing the timeframe to adopt improved potato varieties. The regression analysis revealed that costs of inputs such as manure and compost, environmental and market factors such as drought, pest and disease outbreaks, price variability of potato seed, and quality of potato seed were found to be factors influencing adoption decisions of improved potato varieties by smallholder farmers.
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