Faisury Cardona-Guerrero, Álvaro J. Ávila-Díaz, Y. Carvajal-Escobar, Henry Jiménez-Escobar
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引用次数: 14
摘要
为了检测位于哥伦比亚西南部考卡山谷的达瓜河和卡利河流域的日降雨量的变化或趋势,使用RClimDex软件计算了9个极端气候指数。为此,利用21 ~ 56年的历史序列对研究区18个雨量计的降水趋势进行了分析。对数据进行了同质性检验,以确保信息的一致性。结果表明:降水的变化,几乎所有指数都以增加趋势为主;然而,大多数趋势并没有显示出很高的统计意义。1500 msnm以下站点的年平均总降雨量显著增加,达15.2 mm(大agua河流域)和9.1 mm (Cali河流域)。此外,在海拔较高的站点,观测到减少。大部分指数的空间分布具有均匀性,在研究区内的特定区域也有相似的分布规律,这可能会影响未来几年流域的产流。
Tendencias en las series de precipitación en dos cuencas torrenciales andinas del Valle del Cauca (Colombia)
With the goal of detecting changes or trends in registered data of daily rainfall in the basins of rivers Dagua and Cali, located in the south-west of Colombia, in the Valle del Cauca, nine climate extremes indices were calculated using the RClimDex software. For this, precipitation trends were analyzed in 18 rain gauges located in the study area with historical series ranging between 21 and 56 years. Homogeneity tests were made to data to ensure consistency in the information. The results show changes in rainfall, dominated by the increasing trends for almost all indices; however most of the trends do not show high statistical significance. Also, a significant increase in the average annual total rainfall of 15.2 mm (Dagua river basin) and 9.1 mm (Cali river basin) in the stations located below 1500 msnm was obtained. Moreover, in the stations located at higher elevations, decreases were observed. There is a homogeneous spatial distribution for the most of the indices and similar patterns were found located in defined areas of the study zone, which may affect the runoff production in watersheds in the coming years.