农村家庭的冲击与应对策略:来自尼日利亚奥约州奥戈-奥卢瓦地方政府的证据

Olawuyi Seyi Olalekan, F. Olapade-Ogunwole, M. O. Raufu
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引用次数: 9

摘要

尼日利亚的农村家庭很容易受到冲击,因为他们对有保障的应对策略做出知情决定的能力有限,而一些家庭的特定社会经济特征进一步加剧了这种情况。我们试图找出户主所面临的冲击和应对策略。采用多阶段抽样技术,选取80名受访者,采用结构合理的问卷,通过深度访谈收集数据。数据分析采用描述性统计描述家庭的社会经济变量;Probit分析还用于确定受访者的个人社会经济特征、冲击和应对行动选择之间的关系。结果表明,很大一部分家庭经历了多维冲击,这些冲击主要与生态有关,但也受到其他经济、人口和社会因素的影响。大多数家庭采取应对行动应对冲击;所采用的应对策略包括但不限于借款、变卖资产、汇款、调整食物摄入量、动用储蓄。研究发现,教育程度、家庭规模、人均收入、冲击类型、应对策略等因素显著影响应对行动的选择,并可能对家庭未来的福利状况产生影响。
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Shocks and Coping Strategies of Rural Households: Evidence from Ogo-Oluwa Local Government, Oyo State, Nigeria
Rural households in Nigeria are vulnerable to shock because of their limited capacity to make informed decision on secured coping strategies which is further aggravated by some households’ specific socio-economic characteristics. Attempts were made to identify shocks being faced by households’ heads and coping strategies. Multistage sampling technique was used to select 80 respondents and well structured questionnaire was used to collect data through in-depth interview. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics to describe households’ socio- economic variables; Probit analysis was also used to determine the relationship between personal socio-economic characteristics of the respondents, shocks and choice of coping actions. The results revealed that a large share of households experience multidimensional shocks, which are mainly associated to ecological but also suffer from other economic, demographic and social factors. Majority of households undertake coping actions in response to shocks; coping strategies employed but not limited to include borrowing, distress sales of assets, remittances, adjustment in food intake, drawing on savings. Educational status, household size, per capita income, shocks type, coping strategies, among others are found to significantly affect the choice of coping actions and are likely to have implications for households’ future welfare status.
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