伊朗比较优势、自给自足与粮食安全:以小麦商品为例

M. Haji-Rahimi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

粮食安全是一个动态的概念,可能受到国内外各种因素的影响。然而,伊朗决策者认为粮食安全与农产品自给自足是一样的,尤其是小麦生产。然而,自给自足只有在符合相对优势和可持续资源管理的情况下才能促进粮食安全。本研究旨在探讨自给自足与比较优势的一致性,以及自给自足对净社会效益的实际影响。通过制定政策分析矩阵(PAM)来分析过去十年比较优势和自给自足措施的趋势。研究期间小麦投入产出数量及其国内价格数据来源于农产品生产和成本系统,其他相关信息来源于世界银行统计数据和粮农组织数据库。结果表明,自给自足政策通过价格支持、投入和信贷补贴以及研究和推广项目,提高了小麦农场的物质生产力,增加了种植面积。研究期间,小麦生产的社会净收益为负,表明自给自足政策对粮食安全产生了负面影响。
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Comparative Advantage, Self-sufficiency and Food Security in Iran: Case Study of Wheat Commodity
Food security has a dynamic notion during the time and may be affected by various domestic and global factors. Nevertheless, Iranian policy makers consider food security as same as self-sufficiency in agricultural food products, particularly wheat production. However, self-sufficiency can contribute to food security only if it is in coincidences with comparative advantage and sustainable resource management. The present study aims to investigate the coincidences of self-sufficiency and comparative advantage and the real impact of selfsufficiency on net social benefit as a measure of food security; by developing a Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) to analyze the trend of comparative advantage and self-sufficiency measures for the past decade. The data for wheat input-output quantities and their domestic prices during the period of study were obtained from production and cost system of agricultural products, and other relevant information collected from World Bank statistics and FAO database. The results showed that the self-sufficiency policy through price supports, inputs and credit subsidies and research and extension programs, has increased the physical productivity of wheat farms as well as increased the area under cultivation. However, the net social profit of wheat production was negative during the period of study, indicating a negative effect of self-sufficiency policy on the food security.
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