Ayodele Idowu, Obaika M. Ohikhuare, Munem Ahmad Chowdhury
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The causality test result reveals that, in OPEC, energy consumed during industrial activity is not enough to cause carbon emission and carbon emission does not cause industrialisation to interact with energy consumption. Also, for highly industrialised countries, interaction of energy consumption and industrialization causes carbon emission, but carbon emission does not cause the interaction of energy consumption and industrialization. The estimated model shows that the interactive effect of Industrialization and energy consumption has no significant influence on carbon emissions in OPEC countries in the short and long run. In contrast, foreign direct investment and economic growth have a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions in the short run. However, for highly industrialised countries the study found that the interactive effect of energy industrialization and energy consumption has a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions in the short run. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究调查了工业化对碳排放的影响,通过能源消费的八个石油输出国组织(欧佩克)和九个高工业化国家的小组在1985年至2020年期间;本研究采用第一代和第二代单位根检验。本研究进一步采用Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model和Common correlation Effect pooled mean group分别对OPEC国家和高工业化国家的模型参数进行估计。此外,通过dumitrescui - hurlin Granger因果检验来推断变量之间的因果关系方向。因果关系检验结果表明,在欧佩克国家,工业活动中消耗的能源不足以引起碳排放,碳排放不会导致工业化与能源消耗相互作用。同样,对于高度工业化的国家,能源消费与工业化的相互作用导致了碳排放,但碳排放并没有导致能源消费与工业化的相互作用。估算模型表明,工业化和能源消费的交互效应在短期和长期对欧佩克国家的碳排放没有显著影响。相比之下,外国直接投资和经济增长在短期内对碳排放有显著的正向影响。然而,对于高度工业化的国家,研究发现能源工业化和能源消费的交互效应在短期内对碳排放具有显著的正向影响。从研究中可以明显看出,工业活动的能源消耗,特别是在高度工业化的国家,导致碳排放,这些决策者应该制定政策,使工业活动必须使用绿色能源,以改善环境质量。
Does industrialization trigger carbon emissions through energy consumption? Evidence from OPEC countries and high industrialised countries
This study investigated the effect of Industrialization on carbon emissions through energy consumption for a panel of eight Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and nine High Industrialised Countries over the period 1985 to 2020; the study employs the first generation and second-generation Unit root tests. The study further adopts the use of the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model, and Common Correlated Effect pooled mean group to estimate the parameters of the model for OPEC countries and High Industrialised Countries, respectively. In addition, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin Granger causality test is conducted to infer the direction of causality among the variables. The causality test result reveals that, in OPEC, energy consumed during industrial activity is not enough to cause carbon emission and carbon emission does not cause industrialisation to interact with energy consumption. Also, for highly industrialised countries, interaction of energy consumption and industrialization causes carbon emission, but carbon emission does not cause the interaction of energy consumption and industrialization. The estimated model shows that the interactive effect of Industrialization and energy consumption has no significant influence on carbon emissions in OPEC countries in the short and long run. In contrast, foreign direct investment and economic growth have a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions in the short run. However, for highly industrialised countries the study found that the interactive effect of energy industrialization and energy consumption has a positive and significant effect on carbon emissions in the short run. It is apparent from the study that energy consumption for industrial activities, particularly in highly industrialised countries, causes carbon emission and such policy makers should formulate policy that necessitate the use of green energy for industrial activities to improve environmental quality.