守门员参与进攻对西班牙女子足球甲级联赛球队成绩的影响:多项式逻辑回归分析。

IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 SPORT SCIENCES Biology of Sport Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-25 DOI:10.5114/biolsport.2024.125592
Claudio A Casal, Joseph A Stone, Iyán Iván-Baragaño, José L Losada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在考察2018/2019赛季和2019-2020赛季女子西甲联赛中门将分布对进攻球队表现的影响。通过系统性观察,共分析了 376 场比赛中的 10 868 次门将分球。两名欧足联专业教练设计了一个临时观察工具 "GOALDFOOT",一名观察员在训练过程后对数据进行编码。观察者内部的可靠性卡帕指数为 0.94。结果显示,门将的进攻效率与外场球员相似,0.4% 的控球以进球告终,2.2% 的控球以试图射门告终,79.4% 的控球以失败告终。32.5%的情况下,守门员会从他们的分配中失去控球权。多变量分析确定了门将分布的几个预测因素。结果显示,与排名最低的球队相比,在常规联赛最终分类中处于中间区域的球队的成功概率要高出 1.2 倍(p < 0.05)。门将在转换后的公开赛中开始分球,与任意球相比,成功率提高了近 3 倍(p < 0.05)。外场球员传球给门将,从远距离区域传到本方球门,会降低成功概率(p < 0.001)。分配结果的球场位置靠近对方球门的成功概率最高。总之,最有效的进攻序列发生在以短传启动的动态转换中。这一信息可为教练和球员提供启示,以提高门将的进攻表现。
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Effect of goalkeepers' offensive participation on team performance in the women Spanish La Liga: a multinomial logistic regression analysis.

This study aimed to examine the effect of goalkeeper distribution on offensive team performance, during the 2018/2019 and 2019-2020 seasons of the Women Spanish La Liga. A total of 10,868 distributions, during 376 matches were analyzed by systematic observation. Two UEFA PRO coaches designed an ad hoc observation instrument "GOALDFOOT" and one observer coded the data after a training process. An intra-observer reliability kappa index of 0.94 was established. Results show how the offensive effectiveness of the goalkeepers was similar to outfield players, with 0.4% of possessions ending in a goal, 2.2% ending in an attempt on goal, with 79.4% ending unsuccessfully. The goalkeeper lost possession from their distribution 32.5% of the time. Multivariate analysis identified several predictors of goalkeepers' distributions. The results show that teams classified in the middle zone of the final classification of the regular league had 1.2 times more probability of being successful compared with the lowest ranked teams (p < 0.05). Goalkeeper's distribution beginning during Open play after a transition, represented an increase success rate of almost 3 times compared to being performed from a free kick (p < 0.05). Passes from outfield players to a goalkeeper made from distant zones to the own goal, decreased the probability of success (p < 0.001). The pitch location of the distribution outcome near to the opponent goal offered the best probability of success. In conclusion, the most effective offensive sequences occur with dynamic transitions initiated with short passes. This information can provide coaches and players with insights to improve the offensive performance of goalkeepers.

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来源期刊
Biology of Sport
Biology of Sport 生物-运动科学
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
12.50%
发文量
113
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Biology of Sport is the official journal of the Institute of Sport in Warsaw, Poland, published since 1984. Biology of Sport is an international scientific peer-reviewed journal, published quarterly in both paper and electronic format. The journal publishes articles concerning basic and applied sciences in sport: sports and exercise physiology, sports immunology and medicine, sports genetics, training and testing, pharmacology, as well as in other biological aspects related to sport. Priority is given to inter-disciplinary papers.
期刊最新文献
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