2014年2月12日玉田M(w)6断裂过程。地震和附近断层的应力变化

IF 1.6 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS 地球物理学报 Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI:10.6038/CJG20150116
Y. Zhou, Wm Wang, L. Xiong, Jk He
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引用次数: 4

摘要

2014年2月12日,新疆玉田发生7.3级地震,震中位于卡拉克斯断裂带和贡嘎错断裂带交汇处。地震触发理论认为,地震发生后,地壳同震滑动会使附近断层的库仑应力发生变化,从而影响地震的潜在危险性。本文利用远场地震波资料估计震源机制和破裂过程,并计算震中附近断层的同震应力变化。目的是探讨玉田地震引起的断层库仑应力变化及其地震潜在危险性。地震发生后,我们从IRIS下载震中在30°~ 90°之间的地震远场波数据。选取27条高信噪比的地震记录制作理论地震记录。采用广义射线理论得到合成地震波图,并采用模拟退火算法反演子断层参数。通过改变故障参数以适应实际波形和合成波形,找到各子故障的最优解。基于断层破裂反演模型和无限弹性半空间理论,计算了地震引起的断层附近库仑应力变化。反演结果表明,震源深度为10 km,地震倾角为71.9°,最大同震位移为210 cm。地震矩为2.91×1019 N·m,主要地震能量在前10秒释放。余震主要分布在普鲁断裂北部、卡拉克斯断裂东部和贡嘎措断裂中部三个区域。阿尔金断裂西段、普鲁断裂中段、卡拉克斯断裂东段、贡伽措断裂中段应力明显增大。其中,Karakax断裂应力变化最大,为0.05 MPa,贡嘎措断裂应力变化最大,为0.04 MPa。已有研究表明,大于0.01 MPa的地震引起的库仑应力变化会显著增加断层的地震危险性。在我们的研究中,Pulu断裂、Gonggacuo断裂和Karakax断裂的应力变化都超过了触发阈值,因此这三条断裂都具有地震风险。在不久的将来,应密切监测这些断层的潜在地震危险。近6年来,研究区共发生3次中强地震,震源由贡嘎措断裂向阿尔金断裂迁移,由西南向东北迁移。虽然Altyn断层的应力变化较小,但考虑到9mm·a-1的滑移率,Altyn断层的地震危险性应引起足够的重视。
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Rupture process of 12 February 2014, Yutian M(w)6. 9 earthquake and stress change on nearby faults
On February 12 2014,an Ms7.3earthquake hit Yutian,Xinjiang,the epicenter is at the intersection of Karakax fault and Gonggacuo fault.Earthquake triggering theory indicates that Coulomb stress on nearby faults will change because of crustal coseismic slip after earthquake,and it will affect earthquake potential risk.In this paper,we estimate focal mechanism and rupture process with far field seismic wave data,and calculate coseismic stress change on nearby faults around epicenter.The purpose is to discuss Coulomb stress change and seismic potential hazard on these faults caused by Yutian earthquake.After the earthquake,we download seismic far field wave data of which epicenter is between 30°to 90°from IRIS.We select27 high SNR(signal to noise ratio)seismic record to make theoretical seismogram.We use generalized ray theory to get synthetic seismic wave map,and sub fault parameter inverse process is based on simulated annealing algorithms.In the way of changing fault parameter to fit actual and synthetic wave form,optimum solution of every sub fault is found.Based on fault rupture inversion model and infinite elastic half space theory,we calculate Coulomb stress change on nearby faults caused by the earthquake.The inversion results show that source depth of earthquake is 10 km,dip angle is 71.9°,largest coseismic displacement is 210 cm.Seismic moment is 2.91×1019 N·m,the main seismic energy is released in former 10 second.Aftershocks are mainly distributed in three regions:north Pulu fault,east Karakax fault and centre Gonggacuo fault.Stress increased significantly on western segment of Altyn fault,central part of Pulu fault,eastern segment of Karakax fault and central segment of Gonggacuo fault.Among them the largest stress change is 0.05 MPa on Karakax fault and 0.04 MPa on Gonggacuo fault.Former research shows that,Coulomb stress change caused by earthquake larger than 0.01 MPa will dramatically increase seismic risk on faults.In our research,stress change on Pulu fault,Gonggacuo fault and Karakax fault exceed triggering threshold,so all these three faults have seismic risk.In the near future seismic potential hazard on these faults should be closely monitored.In the past 6years,3 moderately strong earthquakes happen in the study area,epicenters migrate from Gonggacuo fault to Altyn fault,from southwest to northeast.Though stress change on Altyn fault is much lower,in consideration of 9mm·a-1 slip rate,seismic risk on Altyn fault should cause enough attention.
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地球物理学报
地球物理学报 地学-地球化学与地球物理
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3.40
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28.60%
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9449
审稿时长
7.5 months
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