利用相关分析研究Covid-19大流行对社会经济各方面的影响:以印度尼西亚为例

IF 1.2 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Geographica Pannonica Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.5937/gp26-37049
Fitriadi Fitriadi, Jiuhardi Jiuhardi, Arfiah Busari, Yana Ulfah, Hakim Permadi, E. Kurniawan, D. Darma
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文诊断了Covid-19在印度尼西亚经济和社会方面的决定。从印度尼西亚34个省收集的2020-2023年期间的面板数据支持定量方法。三个分析(Spearman, Kendall和Pearson)用于测量关系及其部分效应。研究结果表明,新冠肺炎疫情对劳动生产率、移民、家庭暴力和性骚扰产生了负面影响。从其他结果来看,当Covid-19激增时,人均支出、福祉、失业率和贫困率实际上有所增加。对于Spearman rho相关,在1%的程度上(p < 0.01),人均支出对幸福感、人均支出和幸福感对移民、贫困对劳动生产率之间存在显著影响。通过Kendall的tau和Pearson的测试,2019冠状病毒病的悲剧对人均支出、福祉、失业、贫困和死亡率产生了积极影响,但对劳动生产率、移民、家庭暴力和性骚扰产生了负面影响。在部分概率水平上(p < 0.05和p < 0.01),人均支出对幸福感的影响显著,移民对人均支出和幸福感的影响显著,贫困对劳动生产率的影响显著。尽管人均支出对幸福感有显著影响(5%的置信水平),但与皮尔逊检验略有不同,皮尔逊检验的容忍极限为1%,贫困对性骚扰的影响显著。Covid-19教会了我们很多东西,因此人类不会随着寻求和平的条件而消失。决策者需要制定一个更具包容性的国家和地区抵御能力体系。
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Using correlation analysis to examine the impact of Covid-19 pandemics on various socioeconomic aspects: Case study of Indonesia
This paper diagnoses the determination of Covid-19 on economic and social aspects in Indonesia. Panel data collected from 34 provinces in Indonesia for the 2020-2023 period supports the quantitative method. Three analyzes (Spearman, Kendall, and Pearson) were used to measuring the relationship and its partial effect. Research findings indicate that Covid-19 cases have a negative impact on labor productivity , migration, domestic violence, and sexual harassment. From other results, per capita spending , well-being, unemployment, and poverty actually increased when there was a surge in Covid-19. For the Spearman rho correlation, with a degree of 1 percent (p < 0.01), there is a significant effect between capita spending on well-being, per capita spending and well-being on migration, and poverty on labor productivity. Tested by Kendall's tau and Pearson, the Covid-19 tragedy positively affected per capita spending, well-being, unemployment, poverty, and mortality, but labor productivity, migration, domestic violence, and sexual harassment were negatively affected by Covid-19. The partial probability level (p < 0.05 and p < 0.01) reveals a significant effect of per capita spending on well-being, migration on per capita spending and well-being, and poverty on labor productivity. Although per capita spending has a significant impact on well-being (5 percent confidence level), there is a slight difference from the Pearson test, where with a tolerance limit of 1 percent, poverty affects sexual harassment significantly. Covid-19 has taught many things, so that humanity does not disappear with conditions that seek peace. Policy makers need to schedule a more inclusive national and regional resilience system.
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CiteScore
2.80
自引率
11.10%
发文量
8
审稿时长
4 weeks
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