害怕还是愤怒?公众反恐态度的情感微环境

IF 8.2 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS International Organization Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI:10.1017/s0020818323000152
Carly N. Wayne
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引用次数: 1

摘要

尽管人们普遍认为恐怖主义具有“可怕”的影响,但对公众对恐怖主义看法的具体情感微观基础却很少进行系统的测试。虽然恐惧是对恐怖威胁的一种公认的情绪反应,但在恐怖主义罕见的社会中,愤怒可能会发挥更关键的作用,对公民下游的政治态度产生明显的影响。为了测试恐怖主义发生后这些情绪机制对公众舆论的影响,我在美国进行了一项多臂机制实验(n=5499),该实验操纵了对不同类型恐怖袭击新闻的曝光和鼓励的情绪反应。我在这项实验研究的基础上,对美国16起真实世界恐怖袭击后社交媒体帖子的情感内容进行了观察分析。我发现,在这两项研究中,愤怒不仅是对恐怖主义的主要情绪反应,而且惩罚动机和对报复的支持都是由接触恐怖主义新闻后实验引发的愤怒直接形成的。这些发现阐明了影响武装分子使用恐怖战术的战略动机、领导人在制定反恐政策时面临的选举限制,以及助长政治暴力循环的情感机制。
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Terrified or Enraged? Emotional Microfoundations of Public Counterterror Attitudes
Despite the widespread assumption of terrorism's “terrifying” effect, there has been little systematic testing of the specific emotional microfoundations underlying public opinion about terrorism. While fear is one well-recognized emotional response to terror threats, in societies where terrorism is rare, anger may play a more pivotal role, with distinct consequences for citizens’ downstream political attitudes. To test the impact of these emotional mechanisms on public opinion in the wake of terrorism, I employ a multi-arm mechanism experiment (n = 5,499) in the United States that manipulates both exposure to news about different types of terror attacks and the encouraged emotional response. I supplement this experimental study with observational analyses of the emotional content of social media posts in the wake of sixteen real-world terror attacks in the United States. I find that not only is anger the dominant emotional response to terrorism across both studies, but also that punitive motivations and support for retaliation are both directly shaped by experimentally induced anger after exposure to news about terrorism. These findings illuminate strategic incentives shaping militants’ use of terror tactics, electoral constraints leaders face in formulating counterterror policy, and the emotional mechanisms fueling cycles of political violence.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.50
自引率
1.30%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: International Organization (IO) is a prominent peer-reviewed journal that comprehensively covers the field of international affairs. Its subject areas encompass foreign policies, international relations, political economy, security policies, environmental disputes, regional integration, alliance patterns, conflict resolution, economic development, and international capital movements. Continuously ranked among the top journals in the field, IO does not publish book reviews but instead features high-quality review essays that survey new developments, synthesize important ideas, and address key issues for future scholarship.
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