关于反向LCOE计算:波浪能商业化的设计约束

A. de Andres , E. Medina-Lopez , D. Crooks , O. Roberts , H. Jeffrey
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引用次数: 62

摘要

这项工作的目的是提供一个基于经典的平准化能源成本(LCOE)的创新工具,该工具概述了波浪能转换器(WECs)技术参数的限制。在这种情况下,LCOE计算过程相反:在第一个实例中设置LCOE目标,然后根据不同的场景计算平均能源产量(AEP)。然后,计算资本和运营支出(CAPEX和OPEX),并分配每个成本中心的百分比,以找到每个技术参数的成本,例如结构、动力输出(PTO)、连接、系泊和安装成本。通过这种反向LCOE,获得了WEC的最高成本限制。此外,还给出了诸如最大钢质量、系泊长度或每年干预次数等参数的近似值。本文分析了振荡水柱(OWC)、过顶装置、升沉装置、固定式振荡浪涌变换器(OWSC)和浮式振荡浪涌变换器(OWSC)这五种类型的水波变换器。与实际装置作了广泛的比较。最后,与海上风能部门的限制进行了比较,以检查波浪能的成本降低潜力。总之,尽管处于发展的初级阶段,商业WEC项目具有与海上风能产业竞争的潜力。
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On the reversed LCOE calculation: Design constraints for wave energy commercialization

The purpose of this work is to provide an innovative tool based on the classic Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) which gives an overview of the limits for the technical parameters of Wave Energy Converters (WECs). In this case, the LCOE calculation procedure is reversed: the LCOE target is set in the first instance, followed by the calculation of the Average Energy Production (AEP) based on different scenarios. Then, the Capital and Operating Expenditures (CAPEX and OPEX) are calculated and percentages per cost centre are assigned in order to find the cost of each technical parameter, e.g. the structure, Power Take-Off (PTO), connections, mooring and installation costs. With this reversed LCOE the upper costs limits for a WEC were obtained. Moreover, an approximation of parameters such as the maximum mass of steel, mooring length or number of interventions per year are given. Five WECs classes are analysed in this paper: Oscillating Water Column (OWC), overtopping devices, heaving devices, fixed Oscillating Wave Surge Converter (OWSC) and floating OWSC. An extensive comparison with actual devices is made. Finally, a comparison with the limits in the Offshore Wind Energy sector is given as a check of the cost-reduction potential of Wave Energy. As a conclusion, although in a primary stage of development, commercial WEC projects have the potential to be competitive with the Offshore Wind Energy industry.

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