可再生能源和化石燃料消费对环境退化的影响:基于非线性方法的美国证据

IF 6.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI:10.1080/13504509.2022.2087115
M. Kartal, Serpil Kılıç Depren, F. Ayhan, Özer Depren
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引用次数: 44

摘要

摘要本研究从总体和分类两个层面探讨了能源消费对环境退化的影响。在此背景下,该研究将二氧化碳(CO2)排放量视为环境退化的代表,并将重点放在美利坚合众国(USA)作为最大的经济体和第二大碳排放国。此外,该研究使用1989年1月至2021年9月之间的月度数据,并执行非线性方法,如小波相干性(WC)、格兰杰分位数因果关系(GCQ)和分位数对分位数回归(QQR)。此外,采用分位数回归(QR)对QQR进行鲁棒性检验。结果表明:(1)能源消费对短期、中期和长期CO2排放均有重要影响,且影响随时间和频率的变化而变化;(ii)除低分位数(0.05、0.25)、中分位数(0.65、0.70、0.75、0.80)和高分位数(0.95)外,几乎所有分位数都存在因果效应,而基于指标的结果变化不大;(iii) QR结果确认QQR结果是鲁棒的;(iv)总体而言,能源消耗指标的影响会随时间、频率、分位数和汇总/分解水平而变化。因此,实证结果强调了可再生能源消费在总量和分类水平上通过限制二氧化碳排放来改善环境质量的重要性。研究结果表明,美国政策制定者应关注通过能源系统转换减少化石能源和增加可再生能源的努力,以限制二氧化碳排放,同时考虑能源消费在不同时间、频率、分位数和汇总/分解水平上的变化影响。
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Impact of renewable and fossil fuel energy consumption on environmental degradation: evidence from USA by nonlinear approaches
ABSTRACT The study investigates impact of energy consumption on environmental degradation at aggregated and disaggregated levels. In this context, the study considers carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions as proxy of environmental degradation, and focuses on the United States of America (USA) as the biggest economy and highest second carbon-emitting country. Moreover, the study uses monthly data between 1989 January and 2021 September and performs nonlinear approaches as Wavelet Coherence (WC), Granger Causality-in-Quantiles (GCQ), and Quantile-on-Quantile Regression (QQR). Besides, Quantile Regression (QR) is used for robustness checks of the QQR. The results show that (i) energy consumption has an important impact on the CO2 emissions in the short, medium and long term, while the impact changes according to times and frequencies; (ii) causal effect exists in almost all quantiles excluding some lower (0.05, 0.25), middle (0.65, 0.70, 0.75, 0.80) and higher (0.95) quantiles, whereas indicator-based results change a bit; (iii) the QR results confirm that the QQR results are robust; (iv) overall, the effects of the energy consumption indicators change according to times, frequencies, quantiles, and aggregated/disaggregated levels. Hence, the empirical outcomes underline the significance of renewable energy consumption in improving environmental quality through limiting CO2 emissions at aggregated and disaggregated levels. The results imply that the USA policymakers should focus on the efforts the decreasing fossil sources and increasing renewable sources through conversion of energy systems to limit CO2 emissions while considering changing impacts of energy consumption at various times, frequencies, quantiles, and aggregated/disaggregated levels.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
58
审稿时长
18-36 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology is now over fifteen years old and has proved to be an exciting forum for understanding and advancing our knowledge and implementation of sustainable development. Sustainable development is now of primary importance as the key to future use and management of finite world resources. It recognises the need for development opportunities while maintaining a balance between these and the environment. As stated by the UN Bruntland Commission in 1987, sustainable development should "meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
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