党派关系的不稳定性是由语境决定的

Michael McBurnett
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引用次数: 11

摘要

最近的研究表明,某些条件会导致个人对政党的依恋发生变化。这篇文章发展和测试了三个假设,这些假设来自于已有的文献,表明个人的党派关系是不稳定的。这些测试按复杂度的递增顺序排列。讨论了居住时间长短对党派关系的影响。第二个测试是问选举期间的信息流是否有助于改变对政党的依恋。第三个测试着眼于党派之间的互动如何影响党派关系。在其他模型中没有发现相互作用效应,表明了强不稳定性。讨论了投票选择模型的后果。
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The instability of partisanship due to context

Recent research shows that certain conditions can lead to change in party attachment by individuals. This essay develops and tests three hypotheses derived from the established literature that suggest individual partisanship is unstable. These tests are arrayed in increasing order of complexity. How the length of residence affects partisanship is addressed. A second test asks if the information flow during elections contributes to change in party attachment. The third test looks at the way interaction among partisans affects partisanship. Strong instability is indicated through interaction effects not found in the other models. The consequences for vote-choice models are addressed.

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