利用区域海气耦合模式模拟不同性质降水

Yao Suxiang, Huang Qian, Zhang Yao-cun
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摘要

本文在区域气候模式RegCM3和区域海洋模式POM (Princeton Ocean model)的基础上建立了一个区域海气耦合气候模式,并进行了一系列试验,验证了该模式对1963 - 2002年中国夏季降水的模拟能力。模拟结果表明,区域海气耦合模式RegCM3- pom对中国夏季(6 ~ 8月)平均降水的模拟效果较好,且该模式下的雨带分布比非耦合模式RegCM3更准确。降雨模拟能力在长江流域和华南地区有显著提高。与ECMWF ERA40再分析结果相比,RegCM3-POM的对流降水模拟能力有所提高。RegCM3- pom数据与ERA40数据的空间相关系数在0.6以上,RegCM3数据与ERA40数据的空间相关系数在0.4左右。RegCM3-POM的层状降水模拟能力也有所提高。然而,这两种模式都高估了对流降水的百分比,而低估了层状降水的百分比。为了提高对降水的模拟能力,可以对模式的云降水方案进行修改。
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Simulation of different property precipitation using a regional air-sea coupled model
A regional air-sea coupled climate model based on the regional climate model RegCM3 and the regional oceanic model POM (Princeton Ocean Model) is developed and a series of experiments are performed to verify the ability of the coupled model to simulate the summer precipitation over China from 1963 to 2002 in this study. The simulation results show that the regional air-sea coupled model RegCM3-POM has a better performance in simulating the mean summer (from June to August) precipitation over China, and the distribution of the rainband in the coupled model is more accurate than that in the uncoupled model RegCM3. The improvement of the rainfall simulation ability is remarkable over the Yangtze River Valley and in South China. Compared with the ECMWF ERA40 re-analyses, the convective precipitation simulation ability of RegCM3-POM has been improved. The space correlation coefficients between the results of RegCM3-POM and ERA40 data are above 0.6, and the coefficients between the results of RegCM3 and ERA40 data are about 0.4. The stratiform precipitation simulation ability of RegCM3-POM is also improved. However, both the two models overestimate the percentage of convective precipitation, and underestimate the percentage of stratiform precipitation. In order to improve the simulation ability of precipitation, the cloud precipitation schemes of the models may be modified.
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