预承诺能增加储蓄存款吗?税务时间现场实验的证据

S. Roll, M. Grinstein‐Weiss, Emily Gallagher, Cynthia Cryder
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文介绍了一项实验的结果,该实验测试了储蓄预承诺和不同的储蓄选择架构对845,786名低收入和中等收入(LMI)纳税申报人储蓄存款决策的作用。研究结果表明,在报税程序开始时就预先承诺存钱,对某些人群来说,可以显著提高储蓄率。在早期报税者中,预承诺与储蓄存款增加20.6个百分点和储蓄存款增加418.86美元有关。我们观察到预承诺对一般税务申报样本的影响较为温和。我们还看到强有力的证据表明,强调储蓄的选择架构强烈地影响了纳税申报人的存款决策。该实验还揭示了一些值得警惕的证据,即预先承诺的结构可以巩固决定,从而使那些选择不存钱的人以后更难改变主意。这些发现可能广泛地适用于纳税时间以外的设置,例如寻求鼓励参与者的特定行为(如工作或锻炼)的应用程序。
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Can Pre-Commitment Increase Savings Deposits? Evidence from a Tax Time Field Experiment
This paper presents the results of an experiment testing the roles of a savings pre-commitment and different savings-focused choice architectures on the savings deposit decisions of 845,786 low- and moderate-income (LMI) tax filers. Results suggest that pre-committing to save at the start of the tax filing process can, among certain populations, dramatically increase savings rates. Among early tax filers, pre-commitment is associated with a 20.6 percentage point increase in savings deposits and a $418.86 increase in the amount deposited to savings. We observe more modest effects of pre-commitment on a general sample of tax filers. We also see strong evidence that choice architectures emphasizing savings strongly impact the deposit decisions of tax filers. The experiment also revealed cautionary evidence that the structure of pre-commitment can solidify decisions, making it then harder to later nudge those who opt-out of savings to change their minds. These findings may be broadly applicable to settings beyond the tax time moment – such as to applications that seek to encourage particular behaviors (like work or exercise) on the part of its participants.
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