关于国内生产总值的测量(傻瓜的GDP测量)

Carlos Guerrero-de-Lizardi
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摘要

西班牙语摘要:衡量国民核算体系的象征变量是一项巨大的统计挑战。这篇论文讨论了变量本身的含义,并将其作为经济科学的背景。为了理解国内生产总值估计的特点,首先提出了一个最小的历史编纂;第二,比较国际建议和国家统计研究所和其他统计机构的日常做法;第三,认识到任何统计测量的潜在误差和偏差;第四,它讨论了其衡量的政治经济学。事实上,我们的统计研究所对国民核算体系的阐述是一项“杰作”,或者如Frits Bos所说,是一个奇迹。英文摘要:衡量国民核算系统的象征变量对任何统计局来说都是一项艰巨的挑战。= =地理= =根据美国人口普查局的数据,这个县的总面积,其中土地和(1.2%)水。= =地理= =根据美国人口普查局的数据,这个县的总面积,其中土地和(1.2%)水。在第二步中,我们比较了国际建议和国家统计研究所与其他统计局采用的实际方法。在第三步和第四步中,我们展示了与任何统计测量有关的误差和潜在偏差,并分别介绍了测量视角的政治经济学。事实上,根据Frits Bos的说法,国民核算汇编是一项“杰作”或奇迹。
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En torno a la medición del Producto Interno Bruto (Measurement of GDP for Dummies)
Spanish Abstract: La medicion de la variable emblematica del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales constituye un reto estadistico formidable. En el documento se reflexiona en torno a lo que significa la propia variable teniendo presente, como telon de fondo, a la Ciencia Economica. Para entender las caracteristicas de la estimacion del producto interno bruto en primer lugar se presenta una minima historiografia; en segundo, se comparan las recomendaciones internacionales y la practica cotidiana del INEGI y de otros Institutos de Estadistica; en tercero, se reconocen los errores y sesgos potenciales de cualquier medicion estadistica; y en cuarto, se aborda la economia politica de su medicion. Verdaderamente la elaboracion del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales por parte de nuestro Instituto de Estadistica representa un “tour de force”, o como afirma Frits Bos, un milagro. English Abstract: The measurement of the emblematic variable of the National Accounts System represents a formidable challenge for any Statistical Office. We analyze the full meaning of the GDP taking as a backdrop the Economics Science. In order to understand the complex process of GDP’s estimation as a first step we take a historical perspective. In the second step, we compare the international recommendations and the practical approach used by the INEGI, among others Statistical Offices. In the third and fourth steps, we show errors and potential biases linked with any statistical measure, and we introduce a political economy of measurement perspective, respectively. Indeed, compilations of the National Accounts constitute a “tour de force”, or a miracle according to Frits Bos.
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