朝鲜第六次核试验产生的放射性氙大气排放情景模拟研究

Kihyun Park, B. Min, Sora Kim, Kim Ji-Yoon, Suh Kyung Suk
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这是一篇根据知识共享署名非商业许可(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/ by-nc/3.0)条款发布的开放获取文章,该许可允许在任何媒介上不受限制的非商业使用、分发和复制,前提是原始作品被适当引用朝鲜于2017年9月3日在丰溪里核试验场(NTS)进行了第六次地下核试验。与前5次核试验不同,第6次核试验后,在NTS附近发生了几次诱发地震,这可能是导致放射性氙泄漏的原因。考虑到这些报告的地震,我们利用韩国气象局(KMA)提供的基于统一模式(UM)的数值天气预报数据,使用拉格朗日大气剂量评估系统(LADAS)模型对该事件的一些放射性氙排放情景进行了大气弥散模拟。为了找出可能的检测地点和时间,我们不仅结合了每日和每周的延迟释放,还结合了NTS周围报告的地震后的泄漏,以创建排放情景。我们的模拟结果与核安全与保障委员会以及全面禁止核试验条约组织(CTBTO)运营的国际监测系统(IMS)台站的测量数据基本一致。
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Simulation Study on Atmospheric Emission Scenarios of Radioxenon Produced by the North Korea’s 6th Nuclear Test
This is an Open-Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/ by-nc/3.0) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited North Korea conducted the sixth underground nuclear test on September 3, 2017 at the Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site (NTS). In contrast to the previous five nuclear tests, several induced earthquakes occurred around the NTS after the sixth nuclear test and this may have caused radioxenon leakages at the site. Considering these reported earthquakes, we performed atmospheric dispersion simulations on some radioxenon emission scenarios for this event using our Lagrangian Atmospheric Dose Assessment System (LADAS) model by employing the Unified Model (UM) based numerical weather prediction data produced by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). To find out possible detection locations and times, we combined not only daily and weekly based delayed releases but also leakages after the reported earthquakes around the NTS to create emission scenarios. Our simulation results were generally in good agreement with the measured data of the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission and International Monitoring System (IMS) stations operated by the Comprehensive nuclear Test-Ban-Treaty Organization (CTBTO).
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