RFpredInterval:一个R包,用于随机森林和提升森林的预测区间

R J. Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI:10.32614/rj-2022-012
Cansu Alakus, Denis Larocque, A. Labbe
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引用次数: 1

摘要

像许多预测模型一样,随机森林为新的观测提供点预测。除了点预测之外,对预测中的不确定性进行量化也很重要。预测区间提供了关于点预测可靠性的信息。我们开发了一个全面的R包RFpredInterval,它集成了16种方法来构建随机森林和增强森林的预测区间。包中实现的一组方法包括Roy和Larocque(2020)提出的一种使用增强森林(PIBF)构建预测区间的新方法和15种使用随机森林生成预测区间的方法变体。我们进行了广泛的模拟研究,并应用实际数据分析来比较所提出的方法与十种现有的随机森林预测区间构建方法的性能。结果表明,该方法具有很强的竞争力,并且在全局范围内优于其他竞争方法。
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RFpredInterval: An R Package for Prediction Intervals with Random Forests and Boosted Forests
Like many predictive models, random forests provide point predictions for new observations. Besides the point prediction, it is important to quantify the uncertainty in the prediction. Prediction intervals provide information about the reliability of the point predictions. We have developed a comprehensive R package, RFpredInterval, that integrates 16 methods to build prediction intervals with random forests and boosted forests. The set of methods implemented in the package includes a new method to build prediction intervals with boosted forests (PIBF) and 15 method variations to produce prediction intervals with random forests, as proposed by Roy and Larocque (2020). We perform an extensive simulation study and apply real data analyses to compare the performance of the proposed method to ten existing methods for building prediction intervals with random forests. The results show that the proposed method is very competitive and, globally, outperforms competing methods.
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