用有限的检测试剂盒研究COVID-19

Manav K Bhatnagar, A. Bhatnagar, Supriti Bhatnagar
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文考虑了卫生工作者在检测COVID - 19患者时面临的一个基本问题。总的来说,检测试剂盒的数量或检测能力有限,而COVID - 19患者的数量远远大于此。本文试图回答如何进行COVID - 19检测以降低死亡率这一基本问题。材料和方法:我们认为患者的存活率取决于两个参数:他们的年龄和症状的严重程度。基于这些观察,我们提出了一个存活率函数。利用存活率,可以得到个体的死亡率。利用MATLAB绘制图形。结果:数值结果表明,采用所提出的机制可显著降低平均死亡率。结论:建议对处于高死亡率方案的患者进行检测。
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A study of COVID-19 with limited testing kits
Introduction: In this paper, we consider a fundamental problem of testing faced by the health staff on testing COVID 19 patients. In general, the number of testing kits or testing capabilities is limited, and the number of COVID 19 patients is much larger than that. This paper tries to answer this fundamental question that how to perform COVID 19 testing to reduce the death rate. Materials and Methods: We consider that the survival rate of patients is dependent over two parameters: their age and severity of symptoms at a time. Based on these observations, we propose a survival rate function. Using the survival rates, the death rate for an individual is obtained. MATLAB was used for plotting the graphs. Results: It is shown by numerical results that by using the proposed mechanism, the average death rate can be significantly reduced. Conclusion: It is proposed to conduct the testing for those patients who lie in the high death rate regimen.
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