观测到的波兰降水总量变化

IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY Geografie-Sbornik CGS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI:10.37040/geografie2019124030237
I. Pińskwar, A. Choryński, D. Graczyk, Z. Kundzewicz
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文基于波兰45个站点1961 - 2017年的逐日降水记录,对波兰平均降水指数的观测变化进行了分析。研究了年、半年、季节和月降水总量的变化。此外,还研究了降水(≥1mm)日数、简单日强度指数和暖半年降水与冷半年降水之比的变化。检测到许多变化,但大多数变化在0.1水平上不具有统计显著性。然而,区域间的季节变化是一致的,春季和冬季降水明显增加占主导地位。1961-1990年和1991-2017年两个区间均值比较的学生t检验显示,年降水量和春季降水量以及简单日强度指数均有统计学显著增加,月度数据为2月、3月、7月、9月、10月增加,6月、8月、11月、12月减少。
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Observed changes in precipitation totals in Poland
This paper examines observed changes in the indices of mean precipitation in Poland, based on daily precipitation records for 45 stations in Poland from 1961 to 2017. Changes in annual, semi-annual, seasonal, as well as monthly precipitation totals are examined. In addition, changes in the number of days with precipitation (≥ 1 mm), as well as in the Simple Daily Intensity Index and the ratio of precipitation in the warm half-year to precipitation in the cold half-year are studied. Many changes are detected, but most of them are not statistically significant at the 0.1 level. Yet, there are regionally consistent seasonal changes, with a dominating clear precipitation increase in spring and winter. The Student’s t-test for the comparison of means for two intervals: 1961–1990 and 1991–2017 revealed statistically significant increases for annual and spring precipitation, as well as for Simple Daily Intensity Index, and monthly data: increases for February, March, July, September, October and decreases for: June, August, November, December.
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来源期刊
Geografie-Sbornik CGS
Geografie-Sbornik CGS Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
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