尼泊尔经济自由与私人资本流入:以尼泊尔为例

Post Raj Pokharel
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摘要

本文考察了经济自由指数对尼泊尔私人资本流入的影响和重要性。本文将外商直接投资视为民间资本流入,并将其作为因变量。自变量为经济自由度指数、民间资本流入滞后一年、消费者物价指数和汇率。数据来自美国传统基金会的数据库。除此之外,还分析了不同发表的文章和报告。有关经济自由指数的信息基于四个关键类别:法治(产权、司法效力和政府廉正);政府规模(税负、政府支出和财政健康);监管效率(经营自由、劳动自由、货币自由);市场开放(贸易自由、投资自由和金融自由)。本文运用多元回归模型检验了经济自由在尼泊尔具体情况下对私人资本流入的意义和重要性。结果表明,经济自由不是尼泊尔私人资本流入的有力决定因素。私人资本流入的增加趋势,以及消费者物价指数(CPI)与汇率(ER)之间的正相关关系,说明尼泊尔的经济已经超出当局的控制范围,也无法稳定国内货币,因为尼泊尔货币每年都在贬值,而CPI的上升趋势又再次推动了经济的稳定。
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Economic Freedom of Nepal and Private Capital Inflows: A Case of Nepal
This paper examines the impact and importance of economic freedom index on private capital inflows in Nepal. The foreign direct investment is treated as the private capital inflows and considered as dependent variable for this study. Economic freedom index, one year lag of private capital inflow, consumer price index and exchange rate are the independent variables. The data are collected from the data bank of Heritage Foundation. In addition to this, different published articles and reports are also analyzed. The information regarding economic freedom index is based on four key categories: rule of law (property rights, judicial effectiveness, and government integrity); government size (tax burden, government spending, and fiscal health); regulatory efficiency (business freedom, labor freedom, and monetary freedom); and market openness (trade freedom, investment freedom, and financial freedom). The multiple regression model is applied to test the significance and importance of economic freedom in the Nepalese context specific to private capital inflows.

The result shows that economic freedom is not the potent determinant of private capital inflows in Nepal. The increasing trend of private capital inflow and positive relationship between consumer price index (CPI) and exchange rate (ER) states that Nepal's economy is beyond the control of the authority and failing to stabilize the domestic currency as in each year Nepalese currency is depreciated and it is again fueled by the increasing trend of CPI.
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