中国在区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)中角色上升的政治经济学:中国方式的战略与手段

Wayne Tan, J. Soong
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引用次数: 6

摘要

经过8年的反复谈判,区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)于2020年底签署。这个庞大的贸易协议是一个潜在的自由贸易协定,最初对美国主导的跨太平洋伙伴关系(TPP)构成挑战,因为崛起的中国在区域贸易中的经济影响力威胁到美国目前的霸权地位,疏远东亚国家与美国,并可能努力成为RCEP的领导者。然而,这些外交策略并不真正符合中国的长远利益;相反,本文认为中国应该利用RCEP这个平台,扮演支持者和推动者的角色。扮演支持者和推动者的角色当然是明智的,因为它有助于邻国在更开放的地区市场中与中国取得经济优势,同时也务实地提醒北京的领导人,中国应该以防御的方式与东盟国家一起解决南海问题。所有这些相对低调的策略,基于“政治上退一步,经济上两步”,都可以被认为是RCEP中的中国方法或中国方式。
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The Political Economy of China’s Rising Role in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP): Strategies and Instruments of Chinese Way
Abstract After eight years of back-and-forth negotiations, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement, was signed in the end of 2020. This mega trade deal is a potential free trade agreement that originally poses challenges for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) led by US, because a rising China with its economic influence in regional trade threatens the current US hegemony, alienates countries in East Asia from the US, and likely strive to become the leader of RCEP. However, these diplomatic strategies are not truly in line with China’s long-term interests; on the contrary, this paper argues that China should use the platform of RCEP to act as a supporter and promoter. Playing the roles of supporter and promoter is surely wise since it assists the neighboring countries to make economic advantages with China in a more liberalized regional market, while pragmatically reminding the leaders in Beijing that China should address the South China Sea problem with ASEAN countries in a defensive manner. All these relative low profile strategies, based on ‘one political step back for two economic steps forward,’ may consider as Chinese approach or Chinese way in RCEP.
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