与年辐照度匹配的典型气象年月选择的改进方法

Russell K. Jones
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引用次数: 1

摘要

长期太阳能资源和天气数据,以及来自长期观测的典型气象年(TMY)时间序列,是太阳能电站建模和融资的关键输入。特别是,银行和其他利益相关者通常要求使用代表第50百分位(平均值)和第90百分位的单年TMY数据进行光伏电站分析。用于构建TMY系列的标准方法不能确保所选月份与年度资源值准确匹配。本文描述了一种改进的月份选择方法,将与年度资源值的匹配作为标准,从而提高了TMY系列在表示潜在长期数据方面的整体保真度。这种改进的方法已应用于卫星模型数据集,以0.1°x0.1°分辨率网格在整个沙特阿拉伯产生第50和第90百分位数据系列,以支持沙特王国的太阳能行业利益相关者。
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Improved Methodology for Typical Meteorological Year Month Selection Matching Annual Irradiance
Long-term solar resource and weather data, and typical meteorological year (TMY) time series derived from long term observations, are key inputs for solar plant modeling and financing. In particular, PV plant analyses using single-year TMY data representing the 50th percentile (average) and 90th percentile are typically demanded by banks and other stakeholders. The standard methodology used to construct TMY series does not ensure that the selected months accurately match the annual resource values. This paper describes an improved month selection methodology to incorporate match to annual resource values as a criterion, resulting in improved overall fidelity of the TMY series in representing the underlying long-term data. This improved methodology has been applied to a satellite model dataset to produce 50th and 90th percentile data series throughout Saudi Arabia on a 0.1°x0.1° resolution grid to support solar industry stakeholders in the Kingdom.
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