尼日利亚北部萨马鲁地区降雨量和日数变化格局及其对作物生产的影响

A. Lawal, A. Yamusa
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引用次数: 3

摘要

降雨量和雨天的数量决定了生长季节的长短,同样也决定了在特定地区种植的作物类型。本研究使用从萨马鲁农业研究所收集的数据,分析了1961-2017年尼日利亚北部卡杜纳州萨马鲁扎里亚的降雨模式。研究结果表明,降雨量与降雨日数呈反比关系。因此,降雨量越大,阴雨天数越少,反之亦然。这是由于目前的气候变化,增加了年降雨量的强度,但缩短了雨天的持续时间。生成的降水模式量方程为(y= 3.162x - 5270.9),得到的降雨日数为(y= -0.172x + 417.85)。正如预期的那样,11月至3月的平均阴雨日数(MRDs) <1天最低。作为研究期间的经常性模式,在4月份观察到明显的雨天的开始,雨天的数量稳步增加,在8月达到高峰,10月急剧减少。根据所获得的资料,可以预测降雨的开始和停止分别在4月底和9月底。
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Changing Pattern of Rainfall Amount and Raindays in Samaru, Northern Nigeria and Their Implications on Crop Production
The rainfall amount and number of rainy days determines the length of growing season, which equally determines the types of crops to be planted in a particular region. This study analyzed the pattern of rainfall in Samaru Zaria, Kaduna State, Northern part of Nigeria from 1961-2017 using data collected from the Institute for Agricultural Research Samaru, Zaria. The result from this research reveals that an inverse relationship exists between the amount of rainfall and the rainy days. Hence, the higher the rainfall amount the lower the rainy days and vice versa. This is attributed to the current change in climate which increases the intensity of annual rainfall but shortens the duration of the rainy days. The equations generated for amount of rainfall pattern was (y= 3.162x - 5270.9) and number of rainy days was obtained as (y = -0.172x + 417.85). As expected, the months of November to March had the lowest mean rainy days (MRDs) <1 day. As a recurrent pattern for the period of study, the onset of appreciable rainy days was observed in the month of April and the number of rainy days increased steadily to reach its peak in August and a sharp decline in October. From the obtained data, the onset and cessation of rainfall could be predicted to fall towards the end of April and September respectively.
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