船舶疏散模型的验证数据集和建议的验证方案

E. Galea, S. Deere, Robert Brown, L. Filippidis
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引用次数: 18

摘要

介绍了作为欧盟FP7项目SAFEGUARD的一部分收集的疏散模型验证数据集。这些数据是从皇家加勒比国际公司(CS)运营的一艘游轮上收集的。该试验是在海上进行的一次半公开的集合试验,涉及约2500名乘客。审判在一个未指明的时间进行,然而,乘客们知道在他们的航行中会进行集会演习。验证数据集包括乘客;响应时间,开始位置,结束位置和到达组装站的时间。验证数据是使用一种新型数据采集系统收集的,该系统由船上安装的信标组成,每个信标发出独特的红外(IR)信号,每个乘客都佩戴红外数据记录标签。给出了利用maritimeEXODUS对装配试验进行盲模拟的结果,并与实测数据进行了比较。提出了三个客观指标来评价模型预测数据与实测数据之间的拟合优度。
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A validation data-set and suggested validation protocol for ship evacuation models
An evacuation model validation data-set collected as part of the EU FP7 project SAFEGUARD is presented. The data was collected from a cruise ship operated by Royal Caribbean International (CS). The trial was a semi-unannounced assembly trial conducted at sea and involved some 2500 passengers. The trial took place at an unspecified time however, passengers were aware that on their voyage an assembly exercise would take place. The validation data-set consists of passenger; response times, starting locations, end locations and arrival times in the assembly stations. The validation data were collected using a novel data acquisition system consisting of ship-mounted beacons, each emitting unique Infra-Red (IR) signals and IR data logging tags worn by each passenger. The results from blind simulations using maritimeEXODUS for the assembly trial are presented and compared with the measured data. Three objective measures are proposed to assess the goodness of fit between the predicted model data and the measured data.
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