另一个量化降低通胀的好处的尝试

R. Braun
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本文估计了在政府同时提高另一种扭曲性税收的情况下,将美国通货膨胀率降低到当前水平以下的好处。其他研究人员认为,降低通货膨胀会带来相当大的好处——占国内生产总值的1%到3%。但这一结果依赖于一个不切实际的假设,即政府会用一次性税收来取代通胀,而一次性税收不会影响人们的积极性。相反,如果用劳动所得税的增加来代替通货膨胀,那么将通货膨胀率降低到当前水平以下所能预期的福利收益就会小得多——从国内生产总值的1%的三分之一到0.5%。
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Another attempt to quantify the benefits of reducing inflation
This article estimates the benefits of reducing U.S. inflation below its current level when the government simultaneously raises another distortionary tax. Other researchers have suggested that reducing inflation would have fairly large benefits—from 1 to 3 percent of gross domestic product. But that result depends on the unrealistic assumption that the government would replace inflation with a lump-sum tax, one which does not affect people's incentives. If, instead, inflation is replaced with an increase in the labor income tax, then the welfare gains that can be expected from reducing inflation below its current level are much smaller—from one-third to one-half of 1 percent of gross domestic product.
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