到2050年全球可持续电力供应为经济增长和汽车提供燃料

P. Kruger
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摘要

在未来的40年里,用于发电和车辆运输的化石燃料的燃烧将大大减少。随着世界人口的不断增长,电力需求将一如既往地增长,除此之外,新的电力密集型产业,如电池电动汽车和氢燃料电池汽车,将导致世界电力能源消费的进一步增长。在世界不同经济体中规划可持续的电力供应应采用适当的技术,以便根据其具体能源选择适当的大规模能源。在减少使用化石燃料燃烧的情况下,对现有大规模能源的适当技术进行的分析表明,对大量小规模分布式应用的可再生能源和对少数大规模集中式应用的核能的同等贡献,可以实现可持续电力供应。
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Sustainable electricity supply in the world by 2050 for economic growth and automotive fuel
Over the next 40 years, the combustion of fossil fuels for generation of electricity and vehicle transportation will be significantly reduced. In addition to the business-as-usual growth in electric energy demand for the growing world population, new electricity-intensive industries, such as battery electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles will result in further growth in world consumption of electric energy. Planning for a sustainable supply of electric energy in the diverse economies of the world should be carried out with appropriate technology for selecting the appropriate large-scale energy resources based on their specific energy. Analysis of appropriate technology for the available large-scale energy resources with diminished use of fossil-fuel combustion shows that sustainable electricity supply can be achieved with equal contributions of renewable energy resources for large numbers of small-scale distributed applications and nuclear energy resources for the smaller number of large-scale centralised applications.
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