金融自由化对南共体八个成员国金融发展的影响

Sergio Clerc Marc
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究分析了1980年至2012年金融自由化如何影响南共体八个成员国的金融发展。金融自由化指的是政府取消对利率等关键变量的干预。因此,它指的是解除金融领域的各种约束。我们将研究一些宏观经济变量对八个国家金融发展的影响。然后,我们将使用三种金融发展措施,即对私营部门的银行信贷、银行存款和股票市场资本化。解释变量将用于确定金融发展和估计是基于随机效应面板回归。随机效应假设各国之间的差异影响金融发展水平:对于银行发展变量,通货膨胀对私营部门信贷和银行存款有显著的负向影响。但是,证券投资和汇款没有影响银行对私营部门的信贷、银行存款和股票市场资本化。股票市值似乎不受任何其他变量的影响,也不改善。人均收入对银行存款有正向影响,但对股票市值有负向影响。贸易变量与私营部门信贷负相关。净私人投资通过银行存款对金融发展产生正向影响,但对股票市场资本化产生负向影响。
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Impact of Financial Liberalisation on the Financial Development of Eight Countries Member of SADC
This study analyses how financial liberalisation affects the financial development in eight countries member of SADC for the year of 1980 to 2012. Financial liberalisation refers to the removal of the intervention a government imposes on key variables like interest rate. Therefore, it refers to the removal of various constraints in the financial sector. We will be examining the impact of some macroeconomic variables on the financial development of eight countries. We then will be using three measures for financial development which are bank credit to the private sector, bank deposits and stock market capitalization. Explanatory variables will be used to determine financial development and estimations are based on random-effect panel regressions. Random effect supposes that the difference across countries impact the level of financial development: for the banking development variable, inflation has a significant and negative impact on credit to private sectors and bank deposits. However, Portfolio investments and remittance have not impacted bank credit to private sector, bank deposit and stock market capitalization. Stock market capitalization appears not to be affected and do not improve by any other variable. Per-capita income has a positive impact on bank deposit, but a negatively impacted by stock market capitalization. The Trade variable is negatively correlated with credit to private sector. Net private investment has a positive impact on financial development through the banking deposits but negatively to the stock market capitalization.
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