具有置信异质性的资产需求动态

A. Buss, R. Uppal, G. Vilkov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了理解投资者资产需求的动态,我们开发了一个由单一潜在变量驱动的多时期一般均衡模型,即信念差异,这是由于投资者对资产回报动态的信心异质性造成的。与数据一致,投资者的资产持有是集中的,并且投资者之间的资产需求表现出巨大而持久的异质性。此外,需求曲线比同质信念更陡峭。资产的已实现收益和预期收益及其波动率的时间序列和横截面变化是由潜在需求的均值和离散度驱动的。
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Dynamics of Asset Demands with Confidence Heterogeneity
To understand the dynamics of investor asset demands, we develop a multiperiod general-equilibrium model driven by a single latent variable, differences in beliefs, resulting from heterogeneity in investors' confidence regarding the return dynamics of assets. Consistent with the data, investors' asset holdings are concentrated and display large and persistent heterogeneity in asset demands across investors. Moreover, demand curves are steeper than with homogeneous beliefs. The time-series and cross-sectional variation in assets' realized and expected returns, as well as their volatilities, are driven by the mean and dispersion of latent demand.
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