全球化与全球危机:世界其他地区vs.以色列

A. Razin
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引用次数: 4

摘要

二战后的全球化力量正面临全球危机——“大衰退”和“大流行衰退”——的逆风。然而,以色列的贸易和金融全球化正在稳步推进。由于消费者支出、投资支出和出口需求大幅下降,大流行引发的经济活动下滑非常严重。受零利率束缚的央行,求助于半财政扩张政策。事实上,稳定的重担落在财政政策上。该文件概述了世界和以色列的新的全球化趋势,强调了全球危机、全球金融危机和流行病危机在改变全球化长期趋势方面的作用。当冠状病毒袭来时,供应链和生产已经中断。然而,大流行冲击的影响不仅仅是在供应方面。在需求方面,投资的欲望已经下降,而富裕国家的人们现在把大部分收入都存了起来。这种短期变化是否会加强自全球金融危机以来所观察到的全球化的重新趋势?本文以全球化为重点,对发达经济体和以色列的经验进行了比较综述。
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Globalization and Global Crises: Rest of the World vs. Israel
Post WWII globalization forces are facing headwinds in the form of global crises-the “The Great Recession” and the “The Pandemic Recession”. Israel’s trade and financial globalization, however, is steadily rising. The pandemic-induced slump in economic activity is deep, as consumer spending, investment spending, and export demand tumble. Central banks, tied down by the zero interest rate, resort to semi-fiscal expansionary policies. Indeed, the stabilization burden falls on fiscal policy. The paper provides an overview of the new globalization trends in the world and in Israel, with emphasis on the role of global crises, the Global Financial Crisis, and the Pandemic Crisis in changing globalization long-term trends. When the coronavirus hit, supply chains and production have been disrupted. However, the impact of the pandemic shock is not on the supply side only. On the demand side, the desire to invest has plunged, while people across the rich world are now saving much of their income. Would this short-term changes can reinforce the re-trending of the globalization, which is observed since the Global Financial Crisis? The paper focuses on globalization and provides comparative overview of experiences of the advanced economies and Israel.
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