外国直接投资与金融发展的增长效应:一个阈值方法的新见解

Thu-Ha Thi An, K. Yeh
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引用次数: 23

摘要

本研究的目的是考察1996-2017年期间外国直接投资(FDI)对亚洲新兴和发展中国家经济增长的影响,这取决于当地金融体系的发展水平。设计/方法/方法本研究采用阈值法,即面板平滑过渡回归(PSTR)模型,对亚洲18个新兴和发展中国家22年的年度数据收集。本文对不同金融发展指标的PSTR模型进行了分析。研究结果表明,在fdi -增长关系中,FD的两个不同阈值有了新的发现。FDI的促增长效应只有在FD位于两个阈值之间时才能实现。值得注意的是,在非常高的对外直接投资水平下,外国直接投资对增长的有利影响正在消失。作者对FDI的增长效应和FDI的作用提供了新的见解。估计的外国直接投资对增长的非线性影响和外国直接投资的阈值可以作为新兴亚洲和发展中亚洲评估其情况的基准。研究结果对该地区制定长期政策以提高FDI对经济增长的影响具有重要意义。
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Growth effect of foreign direct investment and financial development: new insights from a threshold approach
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth contingent on the development level of the local financial system in emerging and developing Asia during the period 1996–2017.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts the threshold approach, namely the panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model, for the annual data collection of 18 emerging and developing Asian countries in 22 years. The authors analyze the alternative PSTR models on different proxies of financial development (FD).FindingsThe results show new findings of two distinct thresholds of FD in the FDI–growth nexus. The growth-enhancing effect of FDI is realized only when the FD lies between the two threshold values. Notably, at very high levels of FD, the beneficial effect of FDI on growth is vanishing.Originality/valueThe authors provide new insights into the growth effect of FDI and the role of FD. The estimated nonlinear effect of FDI on growth and the thresholds of FD can be benchmarks for emerging and developing Asia in assessment of their situations. The results suggest important implications to the region in setting the long-run policies to boost the effect of FDI on economic growth.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
10 weeks
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