放大美国房地产市场的“中国冲击”

Yuanbin Xu, Hong Ma, R. Feenstra
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引用次数: 8

摘要

“中国冲击”在一定程度上是通过房地产市场发挥作用的,这也是“中国冲击”之所以如此之大的一个重要原因。如果房价对中国冲击完全没有反应,那么中国冲击的总就业效应将减少一半以上。然而,美国的房价确实对中国冲击做出了反应,因此中国冲击的独立就业效应减少了约20-30%,其余部分反映了房价的外生变化。
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Magnification of the ‘China Shock’ Through the U.S. Housing Market
The ‘China shock’ operated in part through the housing market, and that is an important reason why the China shock was as big as it was. If housing prices had not responded at all to the China shock, then the total employment effect of the China shock would have been reduced by more than one-half. Housing prices in the United States did respond to the China shock, however, so the independent employment effect of the China shock is reduced by about 20–30%, with that remainder reflecting exogenous changes in housing prices.
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