利用半物理网络模型模拟野火传播

J.K. Adou , A.D.V. Brou , B. Porterie
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引用次数: 13

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了一个地表野火模型,该模型可用于开发和测试新的消防策略和土地利用规划实践。该模型简单,易于实现,能够预测火灾的蔓延速度、火灾轮廓和燃烧面积。它还包括天气条件和地形。通过与实验室规模和规定燃烧实验数据的比较,部分评估了模型的预测能力。通过灵敏度分析,找出控制火灾传播的最具影响力的输入模型参数。
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Modeling wildland fire propagation using a semi-physical network model

In this paper we present a surface wildfire model which can be used to develop and test new firefighting strategies and land use planning practices. This model is simple, easy to implement and can predict the rate of fire spread, the fire contour and both burning and burned areas. It also incorporates weather conditions and land topography. The predictive capability of the model is partially assessed by comparison with data from laboratory-scale and prescribed burning experiments. A sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify the most influential input model parameters controlling fire propagation.

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