基于递归神经网络的短期负荷预测

S. Mishra, S. K. Patra
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引用次数: 16

摘要

短期负荷预测对电力公司的运行至关重要。提高了电力系统的节能可靠运行。神经网络具有强大的非线性映射能力。因此,它们被用于处理传统方法不能给出满意结果的预测。提出了一种新的递归神经网络(RNN)。时间序列预测的计算智能方法有很多种。这种RNN的新颖之处在于使用神经元而不是简单的反馈回路来处理时间关系。在前馈和反馈循环中都可以灵活地使用任何类型的激活函数。隐藏神经元的数量可以根据具体情况改变,以获得最大的准确性。结果表明,该方法的性能优于其他几种计算智能方法。
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Short term load forecasting using a novel recurrent neural network
Short term load forecasting is essential to the operation of electricity companies. It enhances the energy-efficient and reliable operation of power system. Neural networks (NNs) have powerful nonlinear mapping capabilities. Therefore, they have been used to deal with predicting, in which the conventional methods fail to give satisfactory results. A novel recurrent neural network (RNN) is proposed in this paper. Many types of computational intelligent methods are available for time series prediction. The novelty of this RNN lies in the usage of neurons instead of simple feedback loops for temporal relations. There is flexibility to use any type of activation functions in both feed forward and feedback loops. Number of hidden neurons can be changed on case to case basis for maximum accuracy. The performance of the RNN is demonstrated to be better than several other computational intelligent methods available.
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