蒙巴萨航道1号航道海上交通评价基础研究

Onyango Shem Otoi, Young Soo Park, Jin-Soo Park
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摘要

蒙巴萨是肯尼亚的主要港口,服务于东非和中非的内陆国家。蒙巴萨港进行了大规模的基础设施升级和疏浚工程,预计将有更多的船只和大型巴拿马型船舶进入蒙巴萨港。因此,开展海上交通风险评估是至关重要的,以量化蒙巴萨进近通道所需的航行安全程度,并评估当地渡轮交通对过境交通造成的航行风险。本文采用IWRAP mk2、环境应力(ES)模型和PARK模型进行了海上交通风险评估。风险评价结果表明,ES模型和PARK模型分别为20.7%和38.89%,利科尼地区为不可接受压力/风险等级。IWRAP mk2模型显示,交叉区域交叉碰撞风险最高,内通道入口区域接地风险最高。本研究的结论将为提出改善蒙巴萨进近航道航行安全的最有效对策提供依据。
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A Basic Study on Marine Traffic Assessment in Mombasa Approach Channel-I
Mombasa is the principle port of Kenya, serving inland countries in Eastern and central Africa. Mombasa port has undergone a massive infrastructure upgrade and dredging works with an expectation that more vessels and large post Panamax ships will be able to enter Mombasa port. Therefore, it is vital to carry out a marine traffic risk assessment in order to quantify the degree of navigation safety needed in the Mombasa approach channel and also to evaluate the navigation risk imposed on transit traffic by local ferry traffic. In this paper, a marine traffic risk assessment is carried out using the IWRAP mk2, Environmental Stress (ES) model, and the PARK model. Risk assessment results show that Likoni area has an unacceptable stress/ risk ranking at 20.7% by the ES model and 38.89% by the PARK model. The IWRAP mk2 model shows that the crossing area has the highest risk of crossing collision and the area at the entrance to the inner channel has a high risk of grounding. The conclusions derived from this study will provide the basis for proposing the most effective countermeasure to improve navigation safety in the Mombasa approach channel.
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