日常活动的变化和青少年犯罪的下降:1999-2017年瑞典自我报告犯罪的重复横断面分析

IF 4.6 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Criminology Pub Date : 2021-05-31 DOI:10.1111/1745-9125.12273
Robert Svensson, Dietrich Oberwittler
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引用次数: 18

摘要

本研究利用一项全国代表性学校调查(N =约49,000)的八次重复横截面波的数据,研究了1999年至2017年瑞典青少年犯罪下降的趋势。我们研究了父母监督、学校关系、对犯罪的态度、日常活动和酗酒的变化在多大程度上与青少年犯罪的显著下降有关。采用多层模型对时间趋势进行分析。我们发现强有力的实证支持我们的假设,也就是说,社会纽带、对待犯罪的态度和日常活动的变化都与青少年犯罪的下降有关。日常活动具有最强的解释力,所有预测因子结合起来解释了归因于青少年犯罪率下降的大部分方差。本研究通过证明理论相关、近端变量和犯罪之间微观层面的关联可以解释宏观层面的变化,使犯罪下降的研究更接近于对社会机制的分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Changing routine activities and the decline of youth crime: A repeated cross-sectional analysis of self-reported delinquency in Sweden, 1999–2017†
This study examines the declining crime trend among Swedish adolescents between 1999 and 2017 using data from eight repeated cross-sectional waves of a nationally representative school survey ( N = ca. 49,000). We examined to what extent changes in parental monitoring, school bonds, attitudes toward crime, routine activities, and binge drinking were related to the noticeable decline in youth crime. Multilevel modeling was employed for the analysis of temporal trends. We found strong
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来源期刊
Criminology
Criminology CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
6.90%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: Criminology is devoted to crime and deviant behavior. Disciplines covered in Criminology include: - sociology - psychology - design - systems analysis - decision theory Major emphasis is placed on empirical research and scientific methodology. Criminology"s content also includes articles which review the literature or deal with theoretical issues stated in the literature as well as suggestions for the types of investigation which might be carried out in the future.
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