经济增长与总储备和总消费支出的动态关系:一种ARDL方法

Md. Obidul Haque, Saddam Hossain, M. Hasan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文试图运用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型来考察外汇储备、总消费支出和经济增长之间的关系。消费和储备等解释变量均具有统计学显著性。消费支出对经济增长的短期和长期影响都很大。执行ADF和PP检验时,变量是1 I(1)阶的积分。结合检验证实了变量之间存在长期关联。这些变量之间存在Â单向关联。
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Dynamic Nexus between Economic Growth and Total Reserve and Aggregate Consumption Expenditure: An ARDL Approach
This paper tries to see the association among reserve, aggregate consumption expenditure, and economic growth by employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Both the explanatory variables such as consumption and reserve are statistically significant. The consumption expenditure is strongly affecting the economic growth both in the short and long-term. Performing the ADF and PP test the variables are integrated order of one I(1). The bound test confirmed that the long-term association exists between the variables. There ¬is a unidirectional association found among the variables.
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