波兰与乌克兰双边贸易关系互补性

B. Semak, S. Semiv
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引用次数: 0

摘要

并在其基础上充实在互补性和战略伙伴关系原则基础上进一步开展互利合作的优先领域。本文采用综合分析的方法对波兰和乌克兰的双边贸易关系进行分析,特别是在分析中使用了贸易互补性指数(CI)和显性比较优势指数(RCA)。国家统计局(乌克兰)、世贸组织、波兰技术部长和Główny Urząd Statystyczny(波兰)的统计数据是计算的来源。在统计资料的基础上,分析了波兰与乌克兰双边贸易关系的发展趋势。已经确定了构成波兰-乌克兰互利经济合作基础的主要先决条件。建议在分析双边关系互补性的过程中采用复杂的方法,特别是通过使用互补性指数和显性比较优势指数。分析了波兰与乌克兰的进出口贸易动态和产品结构。波兰对乌克兰的进口和乌克兰对波兰的出口结构之间的主要差异已被揭示。结论是双边关系的高度优化和平衡,在进口和出口方面存在相互依赖。进行了分析证明了波兰和乌克兰之间的贸易是对称的,平等的,这使得贸易关系相互吸引力。显示比较优势指标在波兰和乌克兰两国合作的框架内。计算表明,乌克兰在下列货物的对外贸易方面具有最大的比较优势:黑色金属、矿石、矿渣和灰烬、植物或动物来源的油脂、家具、木材和木制品、可食用水果和坚果。相反,波兰在向乌克兰市场供应地面运输工具(铁路除外)、塑料和高分子材料、核反应堆、锅炉和机械、化肥、矿物燃料、石油蒸馏产品、印刷产品、橡胶和橡胶制品、电机和设备方面取得了最高水平的比较优势。在当前全球挑战的条件下,前景模型的经济、组织和体制组成部分以及发展波兰-乌克兰双边贸易关系的优先事项得到了证实。提出了在不久的将来发展波兰和乌克兰之间外贸关系的最重要的战略优先事项,即:建立一个监测波兰和乌克兰之间双边外贸关系互补性的制度;执行和全面支持关于发展互补性商品互利贸易的国家间协定,包括以物易物的方式;支持在中小企业和小规模生产领域发展互补性进出口,特别是在生产合作的基础上;不仅在工业一级,而且在波兰和乌克兰的个别地区,特别是在跨界合作的框架内,支持互补性的外贸关系;进一步完善向波兰和乌克兰出口商提供咨询支持的制度,协助他们进入国外市场和寻找外国合作伙伴。会议的结论是,互补性贸易关系的发展应转变为波兰和乌克兰生产合作的联合项目,目的是共同生产和向国内和全球市场提供有竞争力的产品和服务。
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COMPLEMENTARITY OF BILATERAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN POLAND AND UKRAINE
Poland and Ukraine and to substantiate on its basis the priority areas of further mutually beneficial cooperation built on the principles of complementarity and strategic partnership. The authors of the article applied a comprehensive approach to the analysis of bilateral trade relations between Poland and Ukraine, in particular, the Trade Complementarity Index (CI) and the Revealed Comparative Advantage Index (RCA) were used in the analysis. The statistical data of the State Statistics Service (Ukraine), WTO, Ministerstwo rozwoju i tekhnologii (Poland) and Główny Urząd Statystyczny (Poland) were the sources for the calculations. The trends in the development of bilateral trade relations between Poland and Ukraine were analyzed on the basis of statistical information. The main prerequisites that form the basis of mutually beneficial Polish-Ukrainian economic cooperation have been identified. It is proposed to use a complex methodical approach in the process of analyzing the complementarity of bilateral relations, in particular through the use of the complementarity index and the index of revealed comparative advantages. The dynamics and product structure of export-import trade between Poland and Ukraine are analyzed. The main differences between the structure of Polish imports to Ukraine and Ukrainian exports to Poland have been revealed. A conclusion was made about the high level of optimality and balance of bilateral relations, the existence of mutual dependence both in terms of imports and exports. The conducted analysis proved the fact that trade between Poland and Ukraine is symmetrical and equal, which makes trade relations mutually attractive. Indicators of revealed comparative advantages within the framework of bilateral cooperationbetween Poland and Ukraine were calculated. Calculations showed that Ukraine has the highest comparative advantages in foreign trade in such goods as ferrous metals, ores, slag and ashes, fats and oils of vegetable or animal origin, furniture, wood and wood products, edible fruits and nuts. Instead, Poland achieves the highest level of comparative advantages in the supply to the Ukrainian market of ground transport means (except railways), plastics and polymer materials, nuclear reactors, boilers and machines, fertilizers, mineral fuels, products of oil distillation, printing products, rubber and rubber products, electric machines and equipment. The economic, organizational and institutional components of the perspectivemodel and priorities for the development of bilateral Polish-Ukrainian trade relations in the conditions of сurrent global challenges are substantiated. The most important strategic priorities for the development of foreign trade relations between Poland and Ukraine in the near future are proposed, namely: creation of a system for monitoring the complementarity of bilateral foreign trade relations between Poland and Ukraine; implementation and comprehensive support of interstate agreements on the development of mutually beneficial trade in complementary goods, including on a barter basis; supporting the development of complementary exports and imports in the sectors of small and medium-sized business, smallscale production, in particular on the basis of production cooperation; support of complementary foreign trade relations not only at the level of industries, but also of individual regions of Poland and Ukraine, in particular within the framework of cross-border cooperation; further improvement of the system of consulting support for exporters in Poland and Ukraine, assistance in entering foreign markets and in the process of searching foreign partners. It was concluded that the development of complementary trade relations should be transformed into joint projects of Polish-Ukrainian production cooperation with the aim of joint production and supply of competitive products and services to the domestic and global markets.
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