破产概率作为多项式根的函数

IF 0.7 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Modern Stochastics-Theory and Applications Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.15559/23-vmsta226
David J. Santana, Luis Rincón
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在假设索赔遵循m个Erlang分布的有限混合时,给出了cram - lundberg风险过程中最终破产概率的新公式。利用递归序列理论,本文提出的方法将求破产概率的问题转化为研究相关特征多项式及其根的问题。所发现的公式由有限项和给出,每个项对应多项式的根,并允许另一个破产概率的近似值。对根的多重性不作任何限制,并通过几个数值例子加以说明。
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Ruin probabilities as functions of the roots of a polynomial
A new formula for the ultimate ruin probability in the Cramér–Lundberg risk process is provided when the claims are assumed to follow a finite mixture of m Erlang distributions. Using the theory of recurrence sequences, the method proposed here shifts the problem of finding the ruin probability to the study of an associated characteristic polynomial and its roots. The found formula is given by a finite sum of terms, one for each root of the polynomial, and allows for yet another approximation of the ruin probability. No constraints are assumed on the multiplicity of the roots and that is illustrated via a couple of numerical examples.
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来源期刊
Modern Stochastics-Theory and Applications
Modern Stochastics-Theory and Applications STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
50.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
10 weeks
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