并购决策的行为方面:平均购买价格和其他参考价格的影响

Beni Lauterbach, Yevgeny Mugerman, Joshua Shemesh
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摘要

本文提出了一种新的目标股东平均收购价格(TAPP)度量方法。通过对1990 - 2019年美国所有上市公司并购要约的样本分析,我们发现:(1)要约溢价与TAPP与目标公司要约前股价之比呈正相关;(2) TAPP作为解释变量优于其他几个采购价格估计;(3) TAPP效应与要约前52周最高价的效应具有叠加性,且大小大致相等;(4)参考价格主要通过调整要约溢价影响并购要约;(5)参考价格导致的溢价上升伤害了收购方股东。我们的结果将TAPP描述为一个有希望的股东购买价格指标。
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Behavioral Aspects of Merger Decisions: The Effect of Average Purchase Price and Other Reference Prices
We develop a novel measure of target shareholders’ average purchase price (TAPP). In a sample of all U.S. public firm merger offers from 1990 to 2019, we find that: (1) the offer premium is positively correlated with the ratio of TAPP to the target’s pre-offer stock price; (2) TAPP dominates several other purchase-price estimators as an explanatory variable; (3) the TAPP effect is additive and about equal in its magnitude to that of the pre-offer 52-week-high price; (4) reference prices affect merger offers primarily through adjusting the offer premium; and (5) the reference-prices-induced increase in premium hurts acquirer shareholders. Our results portray TAPP as a promising shareholder purchase-price indicator.
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