南非可再生能源扩张对土地使用的影响

IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY South African Geographical Journal Pub Date : 2022-10-05 DOI:10.1080/03736245.2022.2129769
V. T. Gaeatlholwe, K. Langerman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

可再生能源在南非能源结构中的份额预计将增加。出于对可再生能源扩张的担忧,本研究量化了南非目前和未来(2050年)发电的土地需求,并评估了对自然生物群落的可能影响。目前,约340平方公里已被改造为发电(主要是燃煤发电),另外1400平方公里用于满足间距要求。到2050年,直接土地利用预计将增加到755-1080平方公里,间距要求将增加到10700 - 16750平方公里(占南非土地面积的0.9-1.4%)。南非具有极好的可再生能源发电潜力,分别有36%和57%的土地面积适合太阳能和风能的开发。假设未来的发展是建立在可再生能源开发区最合适的土地上,Nama-Karoo生物群系将受到最大的影响。结论是,对可再生能源扩张的担忧不应该限制南非的可再生能源产能扩张计划。
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The land use impact of renewable energy sprawl in South Africa
ABSTRACT The share of renewable energy is expected to increase in South Africa’s energy mix. Motivated by concerns about renewable energy sprawl, this study quantifies the current and future (2050) land requirements for electricity generation in South Africa and evaluates the likely impact on natural biomes. Currently, around 340 km2 has been transformed for electricity generation (mainly coal-powered) and an additional 1 400 km2 is used for spacing requirements. Direct land use is expected to increase to 755–1080 km2 by 2050, and spacing requirements will increase to 10 700–16 750 km2 (0.9–1.4% of South Africa’s land area). South Africa has excellent potential for renewable energy generation, with 36% and 57% of the land area being suitable for solar and wind development, respectively. Assuming that future developments are built on the most suitable land in the Renewable Energy Development Zones, the Nama-Karoo Biome will be most affected. It is concluded that concerns about renewable energy sprawl should not limit South Africa’s renewable energy capacity expansion plans.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
7.10%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: The South African Geographical Journal was founded in 1917 and is the flagship journal of the Society of South African Geographers. The journal aims at using southern Africa as a region from, and through, which to communicate geographic knowledge and to engage with issues and themes relevant to the discipline. The journal is a forum for papers of a high academic quality and welcomes papers dealing with philosophical and methodological issues and topics of an international scope that are significant for the region and the African continent, including: Climate change Environmental studies Development Governance and policy Physical and urban Geography Human Geography Sustainability Tourism GIS and remote sensing
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