经济自由、国家风险和外国直接投资

Iulia ELENES PLATONA
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摘要

国家风险与外国直接投资之间的相互联系是研究兴趣的主题。本文检验了经济自由与低国家风险相关的直观假设,并对外国直接投资具有激励作用。本文采用实证定量的between - in-between模型分析了外商直接投资与贸易开放、廉洁自由、贸易自由、投资自由和经济自由五个指标之间的关系。使用的数据库是44个欧洲国家的全球经济,结果是一个面板数据,用于内部模型、增长曲线模型、上下文模型、广义估计方程模型(GEE)和不对称效应模型之间。有趣的是,这五个指标在不同模型中的意义不同。对于前三种内间模型、增长曲线模型和背景模型而言,贸易开放度、反腐败自由度和投资自由度具有显著性。对于广义方程模型(GEE),唯一具有统计显著性的指标是投资自由度。对于显示各指标不对称增减效应的非对称效应模型,所分析的指标之间不存在统计学意义。间内模型结合了固定效应模型的鲁棒性和随机效应模型的灵活性。
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THE ECONOMIC FREEDOM, COUNTRY RISK AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS
The interlinkages between country risk and foreign direct investments are the subject of research interest. The article tests the intuitive hypothesis that economic freedom is associated with low country risk and is an incentive for foreign direct investments. The research paper employs empirical quantitative within-between models to analyze the relationship between foreign direct investments and five indices: trade openness, freedom from corruption, trade freedom, investment freedom, and economic freedom. The database used is The Global Economy for 44 European Countries resulting a panel data employed for between within models, growth curve models, contextual models, generalized estimating equations models (GEE), and asymmetric effects models. Interesting is the different significance of the five indicators in different models. For the first three models within -between model, the growth curve model and the contextual model- statistical significance have trade openness, freedom from corruption, and investment freedom. For the Generalized equations model (GEE) the only indicator that has statistical significance is Investment freedom. For the asymmetric effects model that shows the effect of asymmetric increase and decrease of each indicator, there is no statistical significance for the analyzed indicators. The within – between models combine the robustness of the fix effects models with the flexibility of the random-effects models.
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