混合神经网络在巴西股市中的应用

Wilson Castello Branco Neto, A. Salvi, William Passig de Souza
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引用次数: 1

摘要

股票市场是一个随机的、动态的、不断变化的环境,它的预测是一个很大的挑战。目前的许多研究都面临着这一挑战,利用人工神经网络(ANN)作为一种工具来进行这种预测。为了利用Bovespa指数预测巴西股市,本文对不同方法进行了比较研究。开发了一种人工神经网络,并将其性能与混合模型进行了比较,其中提出了遗传算法(GA)作为改进该人工神经网络性能的替代方法。得到的结果平均准确率分别为55.04%和55.73%,表明遗传算法等算法具有提高人工神经网络股票市场预测性能的能力。
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Hybrid Neural Networks Applied to Brazilian Stock Market
The stock market is a stochastic, dynamic environment and is in constant evolution, and its prediction represents a big challenge. Many studies presented in the state of the art are facing this challenge, by making use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as a tool to make such prediction. In this paper a comparative study is made with different methods in order to predict the Brazilian stock market through the Bovespa Index. An ANN was developed and its performance was compared against a hybrid model, in which a Genetic Algorithm (GA) is proposed as an alternative to improve the performance of this ANN. The results obtained were an average accuracy of 55.04% and 55.73% respectively, demonstrating that algorithms such as a GA have the capability of improving the performance of ANN for the stock market prediciton.
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